Rushing
149
33 car · 4.5 avg · 0 TD
Receiving
61
12 rec on 17 tgt · 1 TD
Snap share
39%
recent games
BEAVER TD calls
1 of 7
games scored · 1.2 expected
BEAVER Projections · Week 8 vs. Falcons
· Matchup ›Anytime touchdown
17%usually 16% · fair +475+10%
First TD of the game
3.9%
fair +2464
2+ touchdowns
2.6%
fair +3746
- Vegas has the Buccaneers at about 24 points, 2 more than usual
- Several smaller matchup factors add up: Falcons' defensive ratings and red-zone chances allowed lately
Rushing Yards16likely 4–33 · usual 16 · last 3 avg 29 · +1%
Receptions1.7likely 1–3 · usual 1.7 · last 3 avg 2.5 · Usual
Receiving Yards11likely 3–21 · usual 11 · last 3 avg 16 · +2%
2026 game log
grey = BEAVER before the game| Wk | Opp | Result | Snaps | Rush | Proj | Rec | TD | TD % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Bengals | L 27-33 | 46% | 5-15 | 22 | 1-3 | 0 | 21% |
| 2 | Browns | L 19-23 | 35% | 2-10 | 20 | 3-5 | 0 | 23% |
| 3 | Vikings | L 16-23 | 46% | 3--4 | 16 | 2-14 | 0 | 16% |
| 4 | Packers | L 14-17 | 43% | 3-5 | 16 | 2-22 | 1 | 18% |
| 5 | @ Cowboys | W 24-16 | 36% | 4-18 | 15 | 3-10 | 0 | 16% |
| 6 | Steelers | L 19-26 | 15% | 2-17 | 11 | 1-7 | 0 | 13% |
| 7 | @ Panthers | W 43-13 | 30% | 14-88 | 7 | 0-0 | 0 | 12% |
Rush = carries-yards, Rec = catches-yards. Proj = BEAVER’s typical-game projection; TD % = its anytime-TD chance, both before the game.
Rushing yards by week vs. BEAVER’s projection (dashed)
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7
BEAVER Stats · role
Recent games, weighted toward the latest
Snap share39%
Team carries20%
Carries inside the 109%
Team targets11%
End-zone targets6%