BEAVER
NFL scores › Week 9 › Giants at Eagles
GiantsNew York4-2-1away
BEAVER projects18
Lincoln Financial Field
EaglesPhiladelphia2-5home
BEAVER projects19
BEAVERBEAVER gives PHI 51% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Giants–––
Eagles–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (NYG–PHI)18–19–
SpreadPHI −0.5No line
Total37.2–
PHI win chance51%–
NYG by 8+
26%
NYG by 1–7
23%
PHI by 1–7
23%
PHI by 8+
28%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Player projections

typical game, with the likely range (middle half of outcomes) · ▲ 5%+ above his usual · all player props
New York Giants
PassingYds
J.J. McCarthy QB15595–212
RushingYds
Cam Skattebo RB5033–77
Devin Singletary RB197–37
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB144–27
ReceivingRecYds
Malik Nabers WR5.74–76443–91
Isaiah Likely TE4.03–54025–58
Malachi Fields WR2.31–32815–44
Theo Johnson TE1.10–2132–26
Darnell Mooney WR1.30–2122–27
Philadelphia Eagles
PassingYds
Tanner McKee QB169103–224
RushingYds
Saquon Barkley RB4624–74▲
Dameon Pierce RB177–36
Elijah Mitchell RB124–26
ReceivingRecYds
DeVonta Smith WR4.63–65129–72
Dallas Goedert TE3.52–43218–45
Makai Lemon WR3.12–42513–40
Dontayvion Wicks WR2.21–32310–37
Marquise Brown WR–144–29

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 32 NFL teams.
Efficiency
−0.039 #22Offense EPA / play−0.060 #27
+0.009 #19Defense EPA / play allowed−0.014 #13
−2.8% #27Offense success rate−4.1% #31
−0.0% #16Defense success rate allowed−0.6% #12
−0.038 #22Passing EPA / dropback−0.078 #25
−0.032 #9Pass defense EPA allowed−0.019 #12
−0.038 #20Rushing EPA / carry−0.039 #21
+0.088 #31Rush defense EPA allowed+0.000 #18
−0.053 #25Early-down EPA (1st & 2nd)−0.079 #30
+0.032 #26Early-down EPA allowed−0.039 #5
Scoring and special teams
−1.0 #22Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−2.7 #27
+0.8 #19Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−0.5 #14
+0.03 #17Special teams EPA / game+0.24 #13

Touchdown scorers

▲ good matchup vs. his usual · full TD board
New York Giants
Cam SkatteboRB
27%−21%
A teammate at his position is out: more red-zone work to go around
21%−18%
26% of the team's end-zone targets
Malik NabersWR
19%−24%
43% of the team's end-zone targets
15%−12%
A teammate at his position is out: more red-zone work to go around
13%−18%
A teammate at his position is out: more red-zone work to go around
12%−27%
Philadelphia Eagles
21%−20%
38% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Eagles projected for 19 points, 4 fewer than usual
16%−23%
23% of the team's end-zone targets · Eagles projected for 19 points, 4 fewer than usual
14%−20%
38% of the team's end-zone targets · Eagles projected for 19 points, 4 fewer than usual
13%−19%
40% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Eagles projected for 19 points, 4 fewer than usual
10%−18%
Eagles projected for 19 points, 4 fewer than usual
9.2%−22%
Eagles projected for 19 points, 4 fewer than usual

Quarterbacks

career EPA per dropback (league average is about 0; older seasons count less)
PROJECTED STARTER · Giants
J.J. McCarthy
EPA per dropback −0.11Not the usual starter
PROJECTED STARTER · Eagles
Tanner McKee
EPA per dropback −0.10Not the usual starter

Injury report

players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable this week

The injury report for this game isn’t out yet (teams file them Wednesday through Friday).

Giants: last 5 games

W27-21
atTexans
Covered
L27-34
vsSaints
Missed
L27-27
atCommanders
Covered
W36-24
vsCardinals
Covered
W12-7
vsTitans
Covered

Eagles: last 5 games

L21-38
vsCowboys
Missed
L14-25
vsPanthers
Missed
L17-19
vsJaguars
Covered
L20-24
vsRams
Missed
L7-27
atBears
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.09−0.05+0.00+0.05+0.10Entering week123456789New York Giants · 1: −0.04New York Giants · 2: −0.01New York Giants · 3: −0.07New York Giants · 4: −0.06New York Giants · 5: −0.04New York Giants · 6: −0.06New York Giants · 7: −0.08New York Giants · 8: −0.05New York Giants · 9: −0.05Philadelphia Eagles · 1: +0.08Philadelphia Eagles · 2: +0.07Philadelphia Eagles · 3: +0.04Philadelphia Eagles · 4: +0.03Philadelphia Eagles · 5: +0.01Philadelphia Eagles · 6: −0.01Philadelphia Eagles · 7: −0.03Philadelphia Eagles · 8: −0.05Philadelphia Eagles · 9: −0.05
● New York Giants● Philadelphia Eagles