Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Texans–––
Chargers–––
Texans–––Chargers–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (HOU–LAC) | 24–19 | – | |
| Spread | HOU −4.3 | No line | |
| Total | 43.1 | – | |
| LAC win chance | 37% | – |
HOU by 8+
39%
HOU by 1–7
24%
LAC by 1–7
20%
LAC by 8+
18%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Player projections
typical game, with the likely range (middle half of outcomes) · ▲ 5%+ above his usual · all player props| Houston Texans | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Yds | ||
| C.J. Stroud QB | 181131–251 | ||
| Rushing | Yds | ||
| Woody Marks RB | 4729–75 | ||
| David Montgomery RB | 175–32 | ||
| C.J. Stroud QB | 61–17 | ||
| Receiving | Rec | Yds | |
| Nico Collins WR | 3.82–5 | 4528–72 | |
| Dalton Schultz TE | 3.22–4 | 3016–45 | |
| Tank Dell WR | 2.31–4 | 2713–48 | |
| Xavier Hutchinson WR | 2.51–4 | 2312–39 | |
| Jaylin Noel WR | 1.60–3 | 133–29 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Yds | ||
| Justin Herbert QB | 140105–213 | ||
| Rushing | Yds | ||
| Omarion Hampton RB | 3116–48 | ||
| Justin Herbert QB | 209–36 | ||
| Kimani Vidal RB | 146–30 | ||
| Receiving | Rec | Yds | |
| Quentin Johnston WR | 2.01–3 | 2710–43 | |
| Ladd McConkey WR | 2.21–3 | 2411–39 | |
| Tre Harris WR | 2.21–3 | 229–39 | |
| Theo Wease Jr. WR | – | 165–33 | |
| Oronde Gadsden II TE | 1.91–2 | 134–29 | |
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 32 NFL teams.Efficiency
−0.020 #18Offense EPA / play−0.128 #32
−0.020 #10Defense EPA / play allowed−0.046 #5
−1.7% #23Offense success rate−3.6% #29
−3.4% #4Defense success rate allowed−1.0% #6
+0.018 #14Passing EPA / dropback−0.163 #32
−0.012 #13Pass defense EPA allowed−0.091 #4
−0.099 #30Rushing EPA / carry−0.065 #26
−0.036 #7Rush defense EPA allowed+0.010 #21
+0.013 #13Early-down EPA (1st & 2nd)−0.107 #32
−0.018 #13Early-down EPA allowed−0.037 #6
Scoring and special teams
−0.0 #16Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−3.8 #31
−1.6 #10Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−0.2 #16
−0.50 #24Special teams EPA / game−0.66 #28
Touchdown scorers
▲ good matchup vs. his usual · full TD boardHouston Texans
55% of the team's carries inside the 10 · A teammate at his position is out: more red-zone work to go around
43% of the team's carries inside the 10 · A teammate at his position is out: more red-zone work to go around
27% of the team's end-zone targets
25% of the team's end-zone targets
Los Angeles Chargers
63% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Chargers projected for 19 points, 2 fewer than usual
Chargers projected for 19 points, 2 fewer than usual
Chargers projected for 19 points, 2 fewer than usual
Chargers projected for 19 points, 2 fewer than usual
25% of the team's end-zone targets · Chargers projected for 19 points, 2 fewer than usual
Chargers projected for 19 points, 2 fewer than usual · A teammate at his position is out: more red-zone work to go around
Quarterbacks
career EPA per dropback (league average is about 0; older seasons count less)PROJECTED STARTER · Texans
C.J. Stroud
EPA per dropback +0.02
PROJECTED STARTER · Chargers
Justin Herbert
EPA per dropback −0.02
Injury report
players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable this weekThe injury report for this game isn’t out yet (teams file them Wednesday through Friday).
Texans: last 5 games
Chargers: last 5 games
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekHOULAC
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyTexans–––Chargers–––
Texans–––Chargers–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | HOU −4.3 | 43.1 | HOU −169 · LAC +169 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| HOU | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 0-6 |
| 0-4 | Home | 0-3 |
| 2-1 | Away | 0-3 |
| 2-5 | Against the spread | 0-5 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 1-5 |
| 23.6 / 24.3 | Points for / against | 15.0 / 25.2 |
| -0.7 | Avg margin | -10.2 |