NFL scores › Week 9 › Cowboys at Colts
BEAVERBEAVER gives DAL 52% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Cowboys–––
Colts–––
Cowboys–––Colts–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (DAL–IND) | 26–26 | – | |
| Spread | DAL −0.7 | No line | |
| Total | 51.7 | – | |
| IND win chance | 48% | – |
DAL by 8+
29%
DAL by 1–7
23%
IND by 1–7
22%
IND by 8+
26%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Player projections
typical game, with the likely range (middle half of outcomes) · ▲ 5%+ above his usual · all player props| Dallas Cowboys | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Yds | ||
| Dak Prescott QB | 177127–256 | ||
| Rushing | Yds | ||
| Javonte Williams RB | 5236–80 | ||
| Dak Prescott QB | 91–18 | ||
| Tyler Goodson RB | 71–21 | ||
| Receiving | Rec | Yds | |
| CeeDee Lamb WR | 5.64–7 | 6336–87 | |
| George Pickens WR | 4.63–6 | 5230–75 | |
| Ryan Flournoy WR | 2.92–4 | 3016–43 | |
| Jake Ferguson TE | 1.91–2 | 124–24 | |
| Javonte Williams RB | 1.61–2 | 82–15 | |
| Indianapolis Colts | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Yds | ||
| Daniel Jones QB | 15890–235 | ||
| Rushing | Yds | ||
| Jonathan Taylor RB | 6840–105▲ | ||
| Seth McGowan RB | 166–36 | ||
| Daniel Jones QB | 121–24 | ||
| Receiving | Rec | Yds | |
| Tyler Warren TE | 4.42–5 | 3621–53 | |
| Keenan Allen WR | 3.82–5 | 3520–51 | |
| Josh Downs WR | 3.12–4 | 3016–46 | |
| Jonathan Taylor RB | 2.11–2 | 143–26 | |
| Laquon Treadwell WR | – | 122–28 | |
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 32 NFL teams.Efficiency
+0.074 #5Offense EPA / play−0.004 #16
+0.131 #32Defense EPA / play allowed+0.037 #26
+3.1% #5Offense success rate+0.1% #14
+4.5% #31Defense success rate allowed+0.6% #21
+0.081 #8Passing EPA / dropback−0.074 #23
+0.180 #32Pass defense EPA allowed+0.054 #26
+0.058 #7Rushing EPA / carry+0.104 #3
+0.093 #32Rush defense EPA allowed+0.031 #24
+0.059 #7Early-down EPA (1st & 2nd)−0.040 #24
+0.091 #32Early-down EPA allowed+0.058 #30
Scoring and special teams
+2.8 #4Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+1.1 #10
+3.4 #31Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+2.2 #28
+0.05 #15Special teams EPA / game+0.35 #9
Touchdown scorers
▲ good matchup vs. his usual · full TD boardDallas Cowboys
79% of the team's carries inside the 10
46% of the team's end-zone targets
22% of the team's end-zone targets
Indianapolis Colts
67% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Cowboys have allowed 1.2 TDs a game to running backs lately (average 0.9)
22% of the team's targets · Cowboys have allowed 1.2 TDs a game to receivers lately (average 0.9)
25% of the team's end-zone targets · Colts projected for 26 points, 3 more than usual
Cowboys have allowed 1.2 TDs a game to running backs lately (average 0.9) · Colts projected for 26 points, 3 more than usual
Cowboys have allowed 1.2 TDs a game to receivers lately (average 0.9) · Colts projected for 26 points, 3 more than usual
Colts projected for 26 points, 3 more than usual
Quarterbacks
career EPA per dropback (league average is about 0; older seasons count less)PROJECTED STARTER · Cowboys
Dak Prescott
EPA per dropback +0.10
PROJECTED STARTER · Colts
Daniel Jones
EPA per dropback −0.05
Injury report
players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable this weekThe injury report for this game isn’t out yet (teams file them Wednesday through Friday).
Cowboys: last 5 games
| W38-21 | Covered | |
| L13-23 | Missed | |
| L16-24 | Missed | |
| W34-30 | Covered | |
| L31-34 | Push |
Colts: last 5 games
| L10-16 | Covered | |
| L20-26 | Missed | |
| L22-34 | Missed | |
| W30-13 | Covered | |
| W19-17 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekDALIND
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyCowboys–––Colts–––
Cowboys–––Colts–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | DAL −0.7 | 51.7 | DAL −109 · IND +109 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| DAL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 2-5 |
| 1-1 | Home | 1-2 |
| 2-2 | Away | 1-3 |
| 3-3 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 4-3 |
| 27.0 / 25.7 | Points for / against | 22.0 / 25.7 |
| +1.3 | Avg margin | -3.7 |