NFL scores › Week 9 › Cardinals at Seahawks
CardinalsArizona2-5away
BEAVER projects16
Lumen Field
SeahawksSeattle4-3home
BEAVER projects28
BEAVERBEAVER gives SEA 81% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Cardinals–––
Seahawks–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (ARI–SEA)16–28–
SpreadSEA −11.6No line
Total44.6–
SEA win chance81%–
ARI by 8+
7%
ARI by 1–7
12%
SEA by 1–7
20%
SEA by 8+
61%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Player projections

typical game, with the likely range (middle half of outcomes) · ▲ 5%+ above his usual · all player props
Arizona Cardinals
PassingYds
Jacoby Brissett QB177116–247
RushingYds
Jeremiyah Love RB3619–54
Bam Knight RB187–35
Tyler Allgeier RB167–32
ReceivingRecYds
Trey McBride TE5.74–75936–77
Michael Wilson WR4.63–64626–70
Kendrick Bourne WR2.11–3177–30
Elijah Higgins TE–101–21
Jalen Brooks WR–61–19
Seattle Seahawks
PassingYds
Sam Darnold QB16091–242
RushingYds
Emanuel Wilson RB4426–75▲
George Holani RB103–25
Sam Darnold QB60–15
ReceivingRecYds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR5.84–76436–89
Cooper Kupp WR2.31–32210–38
AJ Barner TE2.41–3199–39
Rashid Shaheed WR1.81–2175–31
Tory Horton WR–61–20

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 32 NFL teams.
Efficiency
−0.023 #20Offense EPA / play−0.040 #23
+0.028 #23Defense EPA / play allowed−0.132 #1
+0.5% #12Offense success rate−0.9% #18
−0.1% #15Defense success rate allowed−5.6% #1
−0.036 #21Passing EPA / dropback+0.017 #15
+0.087 #28Pass defense EPA allowed−0.140 #2
−0.007 #18Rushing EPA / carry−0.113 #32
−0.037 #6Rush defense EPA allowed−0.123 #1
+0.003 #16Early-down EPA (1st & 2nd)−0.036 #22
+0.026 #24Early-down EPA allowed−0.084 #2
Scoring and special teams
−1.2 #24Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+2.1 #7
+3.6 #32Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−3.8 #2
−0.71 #30Special teams EPA / game+1.40 #1

Touchdown scorers

▲ good matchup vs. his usual · full TD board
Arizona Cardinals
Trey McBrideTE
19%−23%
28% of the team's targets · Cardinals projected for 16 points, 5 fewer than usual
17%−26%
36% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Cardinals projected for 16 points, 5 fewer than usual
14%−21%
36% of the team's end-zone targets · Cardinals projected for 16 points, 5 fewer than usual
14%−18%
Cardinals projected for 16 points, 5 fewer than usual
Bam KnightRB
12%−25%
38% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Cardinals projected for 16 points, 5 fewer than usual
8.9%−22%
Cardinals projected for 16 points, 5 fewer than usual
Seattle Seahawks
25%−26%
55% of the team's end-zone targets · Seahawks projected for 28 points, 3 more than usual
18%−20%
45% of the team's carries inside the 10 · Seahawks projected for 28 points, 3 more than usual
AJ BarnerTE
11%−25%
Cardinals have allowed 0.7 TDs a game to tight ends lately (average 0.5) · Seahawks projected for 28 points, 3 more than usual
Cooper KuppWR
11%−21%
Seahawks projected for 28 points, 3 more than usual
9.4%−22%
Seahawks projected for 28 points, 3 more than usual
9.2%−20%
Seahawks projected for 28 points, 3 more than usual

Quarterbacks

career EPA per dropback (league average is about 0; older seasons count less)
PROJECTED STARTER · Cardinals
Jacoby Brissett
EPA per dropback −0.05
PROJECTED STARTER · Seahawks
Sam Darnold
EPA per dropback +0.02

Injury report

players listed Out, Doubtful or Questionable this week

The injury report for this game isn’t out yet (teams file them Wednesday through Friday).

Cardinals: last 5 games

L16-30Missed
W18-16Covered
L21-45Missed
L24-36Missed
L30-36Covered

Seahawks: last 5 games

W20-3Covered
L14-17Missed
L29-32Missed
W30-23Push
L31-33Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.07−0.02+0.03+0.08+0.13Entering week123456789Arizona Cardinals · 1: −0.03Arizona Cardinals · 2: +0.02Arizona Cardinals · 3: −0.01Arizona Cardinals · 4: −0.02Arizona Cardinals · 5: −0.04Arizona Cardinals · 6: −0.06Arizona Cardinals · 7: −0.04Arizona Cardinals · 8: −0.05Arizona Cardinals · 9: −0.05Seattle Seahawks · 1: +0.08Seattle Seahawks · 2: +0.10Seattle Seahawks · 3: +0.12Seattle Seahawks · 4: +0.10Seattle Seahawks · 5: +0.11Seattle Seahawks · 6: +0.08Seattle Seahawks · 7: +0.07Seattle Seahawks · 8: +0.09Seattle Seahawks · 9: +0.09
● Arizona Cardinals● Seattle Seahawks