College football scores › Week 10 › Louisiana Tech at Troy
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), 64°, wind 5 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives LT 71% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Louisiana Tech–––
Troy–––
Louisiana Tech–––Troy–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (LT–TROY) | 31–22 | – | |
| Spread | LT −9.0 | No line | |
| Total | 52.8 | – | |
| TROY win chance | 29% | – |
LT by 14+
38%
LT by 1–13
34%
TROY by 1–13
21%
TROY by 14+
7%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.013 #58Offense EPA / play−0.100 #105
−0.008 #48Defense EPA / play allowed+0.117 #109
−0.5% #74Offense success rate−4.2% #108
−2.2% #40Defense success rate allowed+4.3% #106
−0.031 #99Rushing EPA / play+0.011 #82
+0.081 #38Passing EPA / play−0.188 #117
+0.004 #65Rush defense EPA allowed+0.117 #107
−0.008 #48Pass defense EPA allowed+0.078 #84
−1.2 #72Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−8.6 #114
+1.1 #72Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+6.8 #113
Situational
+3.8% #24Passing-down success (3rd & long)−8.4% #123
−1.4% #51Passing-down success allowed+1.1% #78
+0.31 #52Points per drive−1.23 #122
+0.09 #66Points per drive allowed+0.65 #101
Trenches
−0.26 #126Line yards per rush−0.01 #90
−0.29 #26Line yards per rush allowed+0.11 #86
+1.9% #120Runs stuffed at the line−1.7% #73
+5.6% #13Opponent runs stuffed−0.7% #80
−0.5% #95Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.3% #122
+3.6% #9Havoc created−2.4% #111
Big plays
−0.033 #88Rushing explosiveness+0.032 #58
+0.214 #29Passing explosiveness+0.196 #37
−0.06 #59Open-field yards per rush−0.09 #65
+0.105 #114Pass explosiveness allowed+0.027 #77
Style and schedule
57% #55Run rate60% #28
−11.2 #103Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−14.6 #123
Louisiana Tech: last 5 games
| W26-0 | Covered | |
| W24-0 | Covered | |
| W32-31 | Missed | |
| W31-29 | Covered | |
| L19-36 | Covered |
Troy: last 5 games
| L14-21 | Missed | |
| L6-33 | Missed | |
| W55-34 | Covered | |
| L10-21 | Missed | |
| L17-27 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekLTTROY
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyLouisiana Tech–––Troy–––
Louisiana Tech–––Troy–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | LT −9 | 52.8 | LT −250 · TROY +250 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| LT | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-0 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 4-0 | Home | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | Away | 0-3 |
| 6-1 | Against the spread | 2-5 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 1-6 |
| 32.3 / 21.0 | Points for / against | 22.9 / 24.9 |
| +11.3 | Avg margin | -2.0 |
| +8.3 | Avg vs. the spread | -6.2 |
| 58.4 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 68.7 |