College football scores › Week 9 › Marshall at Old Dominion
S.B. Ballard Stadium, 63°, wind 11 mph
BEAVERMRSH −2.5, leanleanUnder 45.5, leanleanBEAVER gives MRSH 60% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Marshall
Old Dominion
MarshallOld DominionBEAVER’s card
LeanMRSH −2.5, lean1.4 points off the line
- Under 45.5 lean, 0.5 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (MRSH–ODU) | 24–21 | – | |
| Spread | MRSH −3.9 | MRSH −2.5 | MRSH −2.5 |
| Total | 45.0 | 45.5 | Under 45.5 |
| ODU win chance | 40% | +120 |
MRSH by 14+
26%
MRSH by 1–13
34%
ODU by 1–13
28%
ODU by 14+
13%
Spread: 1.4 pts better than Vegas for Marshall (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 0.5 pts below Vegas (52% historically).
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.057 #88Offense EPA / play−0.261 #137
+0.213 #134Defense EPA / play allowed−0.022 #44
−0.9% #77Offense success rate−10.6% #138
+5.7% #120Defense success rate allowed+0.3% #71
−0.031 #101Rushing EPA / play−0.233 #137
−0.070 #85Passing EPA / play−0.342 #135
+0.150 #122Rush defense EPA allowed−0.038 #44
+0.267 #130Pass defense EPA allowed+0.014 #56
−9.7 #119Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−13.5 #137
+8.2 #124Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+2.3 #79
Situational
−4.7% #102Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.7% #101
+2.5% #97Passing-down success allowed+0.7% #75
−1.27 #126Points per drive−1.52 #136
+1.09 #122Points per drive allowed+0.38 #88
Trenches
+0.11 #66Line yards per rush−0.86 #138
+0.40 #123Line yards per rush allowed+0.03 #72
−0.3% #95Runs stuffed at the line+10.1% #138
−3.5% #116Opponent runs stuffed+0.6% #61
+0.8% #117Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+6.2% #138
−2.5% #112Havoc created+0.7% #39
Big plays
−0.150 #127Rushing explosiveness−0.053 #97
+0.073 #88Passing explosiveness+0.263 #19
−0.39 #104Open-field yards per rush−0.19 #80
+0.142 #128Pass explosiveness allowed−0.023 #51
Style and schedule
53% #97Run rate59% #37
−10.9 #99Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−7.7 #81
Marshall: last 5 games
| W20-13 | Covered | |
| L21-27 | Missed | |
| L17-45 | Missed | |
| W36-35 | Missed | |
| W30-24 | Covered |
Old Dominion: last 5 games
| L0-26 | Missed | |
| L15-23 | Missed | |
| W10-3 | Covered | |
| L10-42 | Missed | |
| L20-46 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekMRSHODU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyMarshallOld Dominion
MarshallOld DominionLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MRSH −2.5 | 45.5 | MRSH −142 · ODU +120 |
| BEAVER fair line | MRSH −3.9 | 45.0 | MRSH −149 · ODU +149 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| MRSH | ODU | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 2-6 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-4 |
| 3-1 | Home | 1-3 |
| 1-2 | Away | 1-3 |
| 2-5 | Against the spread | 1-7 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 3-5 |
| 21.7 / 30.7 | Points for / against | 15.5 / 26.8 |
| -9.0 | Avg margin | -11.2 |
| -9.7 | Avg vs. the spread | -10.4 |
| 68.0 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 53.9 |