College football scores › Week 10 › Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, 56°, wind 6 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives WKU 67% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Western Kentucky–––
Middle Tennessee–––
Western Kentucky–––Middle Tennessee–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (WKU–MTSU) | 29–22 | – | |
| Spread | WKU −6.9 | No line | |
| Total | 50.1 | – | |
| MTSU win chance | 33% | – |
WKU by 14+
33%
WKU by 1–13
34%
MTSU by 1–13
24%
MTSU by 14+
9%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.134 #119Offense EPA / play−0.086 #100
+0.099 #98Defense EPA / play allowed+0.143 #115
−5.7% #121Offense success rate−4.4% #110
+0.9% #74Defense success rate allowed+7.0% #129
−0.100 #124Rushing EPA / play−0.049 #109
−0.167 #111Passing EPA / play−0.135 #100
+0.188 #130Rush defense EPA allowed+0.149 #120
−0.028 #41Pass defense EPA allowed+0.132 #99
−8.0 #111Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−10.2 #121
+6.6 #110Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+8.7 #125
Situational
−3.4% #84Passing-down success (3rd & long)−3.6% #85
+5.2% #119Passing-down success allowed+2.7% #100
−0.55 #94Points per drive−1.28 #127
+1.23 #126Points per drive allowed+1.11 #123
Trenches
−0.26 #124Line yards per rush+0.02 #81
+0.27 #111Line yards per rush allowed+0.65 #138
+2.1% #123Runs stuffed at the line+1.1% #114
−2.7% #108Opponent runs stuffed−5.0% #128
−0.8% #83Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.2% #75
−1.8% #98Havoc created−6.0% #137
Big plays
−0.096 #117Rushing explosiveness+0.041 #54
+0.191 #38Passing explosiveness+0.005 #109
−0.63 #128Open-field yards per rush−0.32 #94
+0.130 #123Pass explosiveness allowed−0.089 #27
Style and schedule
51% #116Run rate48% #129
−9.3 #89Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−15.9 #133
Western Kentucky: last 5 games
| W16-3 | Covered | |
| W34-13 | Covered | |
| L13-34 | Missed | |
| W52-7 | Covered | |
| L0-38 | Covered |
Middle Tennessee: last 5 games
| W26-23 | Covered | |
| W33-30 | Covered | |
| L0-55 | Missed | |
| L13-23 | Missed | |
| W27-20 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekWKUMTSU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyWestern Kentucky–––Middle Tennessee–––
Western Kentucky–––Middle Tennessee–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | WKU −6.9 | 50.1 | WKU −202 · MTSU +202 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| WKU | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2-1 | Conference | 2-1 |
| 2-0 | Home | 3-0 |
| 1-4 | Away | 1-3 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread | 5-2 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 21.3 / 30.6 | Points for / against | 23.3 / 27.6 |
| -9.3 | Avg margin | -4.3 |
| -2.8 | Avg vs. the spread | +0.4 |
| 59.1 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 58.1 |