College football scores › Week 10 › Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
AmFirst Stadium, 50°, wind 4 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives JXST 77% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Sam Houston–––
Jacksonville State–––
Sam Houston–––Jacksonville State–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (SHSU–JXST) | 20–32 | – | |
| Spread | JXST −11.9 | No line | |
| Total | 51.2 | – | |
| JXST win chance | 77% | – |
SHSU by 14+
5%
SHSU by 1–13
18%
JXST by 1–13
33%
JXST by 14+
45%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.189 #130Offense EPA / play−0.025 #80
+0.101 #99Defense EPA / play allowed+0.102 #101
−5.6% #120Offense success rate+0.9% #64
+3.5% #96Defense success rate allowed+4.1% #103
−0.223 #135Rushing EPA / play−0.000 #88
−0.196 #119Passing EPA / play−0.029 #69
+0.194 #132Rush defense EPA allowed+0.154 #123
+0.019 #58Pass defense EPA allowed+0.035 #63
−11.7 #130Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−4.4 #90
+6.6 #109Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+6.0 #104
Situational
−6.5% #114Passing-down success (3rd & long)−0.7% #57
+1.6% #89Passing-down success allowed+0.5% #71
−1.51 #135Points per drive−0.29 #82
+0.68 #104Points per drive allowed+0.97 #118
Trenches
−0.55 #135Line yards per rush−0.10 #107
+0.32 #117Line yards per rush allowed+0.25 #108
+6.7% #137Runs stuffed at the line+1.1% #115
−1.0% #83Opponent runs stuffed−5.1% #129
+5.2% #137Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.0% #77
+0.0% #56Havoc created−1.3% #89
Big plays
−0.084 #109Rushing explosiveness+0.014 #67
+0.088 #84Passing explosiveness+0.085 #85
−0.75 #134Open-field yards per rush−0.28 #87
−0.114 #20Pass explosiveness allowed+0.033 #79
Style and schedule
46% #134Run rate58% #42
−12.5 #111Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−14.4 #121
Sam Houston: last 5 games
| L24-30 | Missed | |
| L3-16 | Missed | |
| L3-35 | Missed | |
| L14-49 | Missed | |
| W59-0 | Covered |
Jacksonville State: last 5 games
| W27-24 | Push | |
| W27-26 | Missed | |
| W23-13 | Covered | |
| W31-27 | Covered | |
| L27-29 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekSHSUJXST
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneySam Houston–––Jacksonville State–––
Sam Houston–––Jacksonville State–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | JXST −11.9 | 51.2 | SHSU +342 · JXST −342 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| SHSU | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 5-2 |
| 0-3 | Conference | 3-0 |
| 1-3 | Home | 4-0 |
| 0-3 | Away | 1-2 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 3-3-1 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 5-2 |
| 20.1 / 25.3 | Points for / against | 27.3 / 22.7 |
| -5.1 | Avg margin | +4.6 |
| +3.4 | Avg vs. the spread | +0.1 |
| 54.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 58.7 |