College football scores › Week 10 › Liberty at New Mexico State
Aggie Memorial Stadium, 64°, wind 6 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives LIB 80% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Liberty–––
New Mexico State–––
Liberty–––New Mexico State–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (LIB–NMSU) | 30–17 | – | |
| Spread | LIB −13.2 | No line | |
| Total | 47.5 | – | |
| NMSU win chance | 20% | – |
LIB by 14+
48%
LIB by 1–13
32%
NMSU by 1–13
16%
NMSU by 14+
4%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.011 #73Offense EPA / play−0.212 #134
+0.002 #56Defense EPA / play allowed+0.070 #86
+2.2% #46Offense success rate−5.4% #117
−0.9% #46Defense success rate allowed+2.2% #84
+0.062 #50Rushing EPA / play−0.090 #121
−0.020 #67Passing EPA / play−0.250 #130
+0.051 #85Rush defense EPA allowed+0.025 #73
−0.002 #51Pass defense EPA allowed+0.087 #86
−2.2 #75Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−7.8 #110
−3.1 #38Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+6.5 #107
Situational
−3.1% #78Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.9% #103
−0.8% #55Passing-down success allowed+1.6% #87
−0.22 #79Points per drive−1.13 #116
−0.02 #59Points per drive allowed+0.71 #106
Trenches
+0.36 #29Line yards per rush−0.08 #101
+0.12 #88Line yards per rush allowed−0.12 #48
−5.6% #15Runs stuffed at the line−3.4% #45
+1.9% #48Opponent runs stuffed+3.3% #27
−2.1% #50Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+0.6% #112
−0.6% #74Havoc created−2.2% #106
Big plays
−0.105 #119Rushing explosiveness+0.011 #72
+0.296 #10Passing explosiveness+0.130 #63
−0.05 #54Open-field yards per rush−0.21 #82
+0.086 #101Pass explosiveness allowed−0.031 #44
Style and schedule
66% #9Run rate51% #113
−14.8 #124Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−12.9 #112
Liberty: last 5 games
| W34-6 | Covered | |
| W35-3 | Covered | |
| W30-14 | Covered | |
| W34-17 | Covered | |
| W51-15 | Covered |
New Mexico State: last 5 games
| W30-24 | Covered | |
| L3-22 | Missed | |
| W34-13 | Covered | |
| L18-42 | Missed | |
| L19-29 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekLIBNMSU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyLiberty–––New Mexico State–––
Liberty–––New Mexico State–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | LIB −13.2 | 47.5 | LIB −401 · NMSU +401 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| LIB | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-0 | Conference | 2-1 |
| 3-0 | Home | 2-1 |
| 3-1 | Away | 1-3 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 2-5 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 31.6 / 14.0 | Points for / against | 24.6 / 25.4 |
| +17.6 | Avg margin | -0.9 |
| +7.8 | Avg vs. the spread | +2.4 |
| 58.7 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 61.6 |