College football scores › Week 10 › South Alabama at Louisiana
BEAVERBEAVER gives UL 74% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
South Alabama–––
Louisiana–––
South Alabama–––Louisiana–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (USA–UL) | 24–34 | – | |
| Spread | UL −10.3 | No line | |
| Total | 58.7 | – | |
| UL win chance | 74% | – |
USA by 14+
7%
USA by 1–13
20%
UL by 1–13
33%
UL by 14+
41%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.026 #81Offense EPA / play−0.088 #101
+0.184 #129Defense EPA / play allowed−0.040 #38
−3.6% #104Offense success rate−3.0% #95
+9.0% #135Defense success rate allowed+1.9% #83
+0.058 #51Rushing EPA / play+0.040 #66
+0.003 #57Passing EPA / play−0.161 #110
+0.134 #114Rush defense EPA allowed−0.079 #27
+0.170 #108Pass defense EPA allowed−0.001 #52
+1.5 #55Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−3.1 #80
+10.6 #128Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+1.2 #73
Situational
−3.3% #81Passing-down success (3rd & long)−1.7% #65
+10.5% #137Passing-down success allowed+0.6% #74
−0.16 #74Points per drive−0.62 #100
+0.99 #119Points per drive allowed+0.02 #62
Trenches
−0.09 #104Line yards per rush+0.10 #68
+0.14 #93Line yards per rush allowed+0.10 #84
−2.1% #68Runs stuffed at the line−2.2% #62
−0.6% #79Opponent runs stuffed+0.6% #59
−2.4% #45Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.1% #76
−1.2% #84Havoc created−0.4% #66
Big plays
+0.134 #15Rushing explosiveness+0.090 #35
+0.274 #15Passing explosiveness−0.011 #113
−0.46 #112Open-field yards per rush−0.31 #93
−0.015 #59Pass explosiveness allowed−0.255 #4
Style and schedule
66% #8Run rate63% #14
−12.0 #107Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−12.0 #108
South Alabama: last 5 games
| L13-20 | Missed | |
| W56-49 | Covered | |
| W52-35 | Covered | |
| L21-45 | Missed | |
| W41-36 | Missed |
Louisiana: last 5 games
| L31-35 | Missed | |
| W33-6 | Covered | |
| L31-32 | Covered | |
| W23-20 | Missed | |
| W34-7 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekUSAUL
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneySouth Alabama–––Louisiana–––
South Alabama–––Louisiana–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | UL −10.3 | 58.7 | USA +282 · UL −282 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| USA | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 5-3 |
| 2-1 | Conference | 2-2 |
| 3-0 | Home | 4-0 |
| 1-3 | Away | 1-3 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread | 5-2-1 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 3-5 |
| 35.1 / 32.4 | Points for / against | 30.1 / 21.2 |
| +2.7 | Avg margin | +8.9 |
| +2.5 | Avg vs. the spread | +6.1 |
| 69.0 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 64.0 |