BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › James Madison at Southern Miss
James Madison7-1away
BEAVER projects35
M. M. Roberts Stadium, 59°, wind 6 mph
Southern Miss2-5home
BEAVER projects23
BEAVERBEAVER gives JMU 76% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
James Madison–––
Southern Miss–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (JMU–USM)35–23–
SpreadJMU −11.4No line
Total58.3–
USM win chance24%–
JMU by 14+
44%
JMU by 1–13
32%
USM by 1–13
18%
USM by 14+
6%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.038 #44Offense EPA / play−0.140 #121
+0.021 #69Defense EPA / play allowed+0.110 #104
−0.5% #73Offense success rate−4.1% #106
+0.1% #67Defense success rate allowed+4.2% #104
+0.054 #56Rushing EPA / play+0.018 #76
+0.061 #44Passing EPA / play−0.222 #124
−0.014 #54Rush defense EPA allowed+0.113 #106
+0.030 #60Pass defense EPA allowed+0.145 #101
+5.9 #27Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−6.0 #105
+0.0 #64Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+9.8 #126
Situational
+2.9% #30Passing-down success (3rd & long)−10.2% #131
+2.9% #104Passing-down success allowed+2.5% #96
+0.45 #43Points per drive−0.61 #97
+0.01 #61Points per drive allowed+1.06 #120
Trenches
+0.03 #79Line yards per rush+0.20 #50
+0.00 #68Line yards per rush allowed+0.18 #99
−3.7% #38Runs stuffed at the line−4.8% #24
−2.5% #106Opponent runs stuffed−1.5% #91
−4.2% #18Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.8% #82
−1.0% #78Havoc created−3.5% #127
Big plays
+0.046 #51Rushing explosiveness−0.061 #102
+0.205 #32Passing explosiveness+0.125 #66
+0.26 #25Open-field yards per rush−0.44 #110
+0.000 #64Pass explosiveness allowed−0.027 #48
Style and schedule
57% #52Run rate50% #123
−15.2 #127Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−11.1 #101

James Madison: last 5 games

L31-34
atApp State
Missed
W49-22
vsGeorgia State
Covered
W27-24
atGeorgia Southern
Missed
W45-17
vsMarshall
Covered
W46-20
atOld Dominion
Covered

Southern Miss: last 5 games

W35-31
vsLouisiana
Covered
L13-23
vsArkansas State
Missed
L34-55
atTroy
Missed
L21-24
atTulane
Covered
L20-48
vsUConn
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.30−0.20−0.10+0.00+0.10Entering week12345678910James Madison · 1: −0.07James Madison · 2: −0.03James Madison · 3: −0.08James Madison · 4: +0.00James Madison · 5: +0.07James Madison · 6: +0.03James Madison · 7: +0.03James Madison · 8: +0.04James Madison · 9: +0.02James Madison · 10: +0.02Southern Miss · 1: −0.08Southern Miss · 2: −0.03Southern Miss · 3: −0.12Southern Miss · 4: −0.24Southern Miss · 5: −0.18Southern Miss · 6: −0.19Southern Miss · 7: −0.24Southern Miss · 8: −0.27Southern Miss · 9: −0.25Southern Miss · 10: −0.25
● James Madison● Southern Miss