College football scores › Week 9 › Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Center Parc Stadium, 74°, wind 13 mph
BEAVERGAST −6.5, best betbest betUnder 57.5, leanleanBEAVER gives GAST 75% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Coastal Carolina
Georgia State
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia StateBEAVER’s card
Best betGAST −6.5, best bet4.2 points off the line
- Under 57.5 lean, 0.3 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (CCU–GAST) | 23–34 | – | |
| Spread | GAST −10.7 | GAST −6.5 | GAST −6.5 |
| Total | 57.2 | 57.5 | Under 57.5 |
| GAST win chance | 75% | −245 |
CCU by 14+
6%
CCU by 1–13
19%
GAST by 1–13
33%
GAST by 14+
42%
Spread: 4.2 pts better than Vegas for Georgia State (sides with a gap this size have won 54% in the backtest). Total: 0.3 pts below Vegas (52% historically).
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.102 #108Offense EPA / play+0.022 #49
+0.115 #108Defense EPA / play allowed+0.109 #103
−6.1% #125Offense success rate+1.7% #54
+6.5% #127Defense success rate allowed+2.3% #86
−0.027 #95Rushing EPA / play+0.081 #39
−0.145 #102Passing EPA / play+0.153 #20
+0.083 #96Rush defense EPA allowed+0.149 #121
+0.269 #131Pass defense EPA allowed+0.067 #79
−7.4 #108Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+0.6 #61
+6.2 #106Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+7.4 #117
Situational
−3.8% #87Passing-down success (3rd & long)+2.6% #32
+2.8% #101Passing-down success allowed−1.6% #49
−1.16 #118Points per drive−0.06 #69
+0.52 #95Points per drive allowed+0.68 #102
Trenches
+0.15 #57Line yards per rush+0.36 #30
+0.33 #120Line yards per rush allowed+0.22 #103
−1.3% #78Runs stuffed at the line−1.5% #75
−3.5% #117Opponent runs stuffed+0.4% #64
+2.3% #131Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−2.8% #37
−1.9% #102Havoc created−0.5% #67
Big plays
−0.019 #85Rushing explosiveness+0.071 #41
+0.348 #4Passing explosiveness+0.273 #16
−0.29 #89Open-field yards per rush+0.26 #26
+0.047 #85Pass explosiveness allowed+0.124 #121
Style and schedule
55% #70Run rate57% #47
−13.3 #113Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−14.3 #119
Coastal Carolina: last 5 games
| L32-35 | Missed | |
| W27-21 | Covered | |
| L24-31 | Missed | |
| L17-34 | Missed | |
| L14-22 | Missed |
Georgia State: last 5 games
| L32-38 | Missed | |
| L22-49 | Missed | |
| W42-10 | Covered | |
| W35-14 | Covered | |
| L30-44 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekCCUGAST
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Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyCoastal CarolinaGeorgia State
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia StateLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | GAST −6.5 | 57.5 | CCU +200 · GAST −245 |
| BEAVER fair line | GAST −10.7 | 57.2 | CCU +295 · GAST −295 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| CCU | GAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 4-3 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 1-3 | Home | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | Away | 1-3 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 5-2 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 5-2 |
| 26.1 / 25.9 | Points for / against | 35.9 / 26.0 |
| +0.3 | Avg margin | +9.9 |
| +0.3 | Avg vs. the spread | +8.6 |
| 62.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 59.1 |