College football scores › Week 10 › UL Monroe at Arkansas State
Centennial Bank Stadium, 58°, wind 5 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives ARST 81% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
UL Monroe–––
Arkansas State–––
UL Monroe–––Arkansas State–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (ULM–ARST) | 20–34 | – | |
| Spread | ARST −14.0 | No line | |
| Total | 53.4 | – | |
| ARST win chance | 81% | – |
ULM by 14+
4%
ULM by 1–13
15%
ARST by 1–13
31%
ARST by 14+
50%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.235 #136Offense EPA / play−0.029 #82
+0.166 #124Defense EPA / play allowed+0.132 #111
−5.9% #122Offense success rate+1.4% #58
+5.4% #117Defense success rate allowed+5.4% #116
−0.119 #130Rushing EPA / play+0.013 #81
−0.264 #131Passing EPA / play−0.036 #72
+0.159 #125Rush defense EPA allowed+0.064 #89
+0.196 #114Pass defense EPA allowed+0.251 #129
−12.7 #134Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−3.6 #85
+12.1 #130Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+5.4 #101
Situational
−8.4% #126Passing-down success (3rd & long)−2.6% #73
+5.9% #123Passing-down success allowed+1.6% #85
−1.48 #133Points per drive−0.23 #80
+1.45 #129Points per drive allowed+0.56 #97
Trenches
−0.32 #130Line yards per rush−0.07 #100
+0.51 #133Line yards per rush allowed+0.44 #125
+2.3% #125Runs stuffed at the line−0.3% #94
−5.6% #132Opponent runs stuffed−5.5% #131
+2.7% #133Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.0% #78
−3.7% #129Havoc created−3.8% #130
Big plays
−0.159 #128Rushing explosiveness−0.086 #113
+0.018 #108Passing explosiveness+0.019 #106
−0.59 #126Open-field yards per rush−0.69 #133
+0.127 #122Pass explosiveness allowed+0.097 #105
Style and schedule
54% #81Run rate54% #89
−10.4 #94Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−10.6 #97
UL Monroe: last 5 games
| W21-14 | Covered | |
| L0-24 | Missed | |
| L35-52 | Missed | |
| L17-45 | Missed | |
| L35-38 | Missed |
Arkansas State: last 5 games
| W38-32 | Covered | |
| W23-13 | Covered | |
| L49-56 | Missed | |
| L20-23 | Covered | |
| W17-14 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekULMARST
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyUL Monroe–––Arkansas State–––
UL Monroe–––Arkansas State–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | ARST −14 | 53.4 | ULM +428 · ARST −428 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| ULM | ARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 4-4 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 2-2 |
| 0-3 | Home | 3-1 |
| 1-3 | Away | 1-3 |
| 2-5 | Against the spread | 4-4 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 4-4 |
| 20.1 / 37.3 | Points for / against | 28.8 / 27.2 |
| -17.1 | Avg margin | +1.5 |
| -5.8 | Avg vs. the spread | +0.2 |
| 56.7 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 60.9 |