College football scores › Week 10 › Georgia State at App State
Kidd Brewer Stadium, 51°, wind 3 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives GAST 56% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Georgia State–––
App State–––
Georgia State–––App State–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (GAST–APP) | 30–28 | – | |
| Spread | GAST −2.4 | No line | |
| Total | 57.8 | – | |
| APP win chance | 44% | – |
GAST by 14+
24%
GAST by 1–13
32%
APP by 1–13
29%
APP by 14+
16%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.022 #49Offense EPA / play−0.069 #93
+0.109 #103Defense EPA / play allowed+0.085 #90
+1.7% #54Offense success rate−3.1% #97
+2.3% #86Defense success rate allowed+5.0% #112
+0.081 #39Rushing EPA / play−0.100 #125
+0.153 #20Passing EPA / play+0.002 #59
+0.149 #121Rush defense EPA allowed+0.141 #118
+0.067 #79Pass defense EPA allowed+0.046 #68
+0.6 #61Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−4.1 #86
+7.4 #117Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+4.7 #96
Situational
+2.6% #32Passing-down success (3rd & long)−2.2% #70
−1.6% #49Passing-down success allowed−0.1% #64
−0.06 #69Points per drive−0.47 #87
+0.68 #102Points per drive allowed+0.35 #83
Trenches
+0.36 #30Line yards per rush−0.33 #131
+0.22 #103Line yards per rush allowed+0.10 #82
−1.5% #75Runs stuffed at the line+1.5% #117
+0.4% #64Opponent runs stuffed−2.4% #104
−2.8% #37Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.5% #93
−0.5% #67Havoc created−1.8% #99
Big plays
+0.071 #41Rushing explosiveness−0.038 #92
+0.273 #16Passing explosiveness+0.091 #82
+0.26 #26Open-field yards per rush−0.66 #131
+0.124 #121Pass explosiveness allowed−0.181 #9
Style and schedule
57% #47Run rate53% #96
−14.3 #119Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−14.4 #122
Georgia State: last 5 games
| L32-38 | Missed | |
| L22-49 | Missed | |
| W42-10 | Covered | |
| W35-14 | Covered | |
| L30-44 | Covered |
App State: last 5 games
| W34-31 | Covered | |
| W35-32 | Covered | |
| L3-10 | Missed | |
| L31-41 | Covered | |
| W26-21 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekGASTAPP
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyGeorgia State–––App State–––
Georgia State–––App State–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | GAST −2.4 | 57.8 | GAST −126 · APP +126 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| GAST | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 5-2 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 2-1 |
| 3-0 | Home | 3-1 |
| 1-3 | Away | 2-1 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread | 5-2 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 4-3 |
| 35.9 / 26.0 | Points for / against | 30.1 / 23.1 |
| +9.9 | Avg margin | +7.0 |
| +8.6 | Avg vs. the spread | +4.7 |
| 59.1 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 67.1 |