College football scores › Week 10 › Ball State at Massachusetts
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, 38°, wind 2 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives BALL 54% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Ball State–––
Massachusetts–––
Ball State–––Massachusetts–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (BALL–MASS) | 26–24 | – | |
| Spread | BALL −1.7 | No line | |
| Total | 49.9 | – | |
| MASS win chance | 46% | – |
BALL by 14+
22%
BALL by 1–13
32%
MASS by 1–13
30%
MASS by 14+
16%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.082 #99Offense EPA / play−0.133 #117
+0.192 #130Defense EPA / play allowed+0.093 #94
−5.2% #116Offense success rate−6.1% #126
+3.6% #97Defense success rate allowed+5.0% #111
−0.068 #114Rushing EPA / play−0.060 #112
−0.038 #73Passing EPA / play−0.150 #104
+0.148 #119Rush defense EPA allowed+0.080 #94
+0.234 #127Pass defense EPA allowed+0.080 #85
−8.5 #113Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−10.8 #126
+11.4 #129Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+7.6 #119
Situational
−3.3% #82Passing-down success (3rd & long)−7.8% #120
+7.2% #127Passing-down success allowed+1.6% #84
−1.19 #120Points per drive−1.09 #114
+1.69 #133Points per drive allowed+1.13 #124
Trenches
−0.14 #115Line yards per rush−0.11 #111
+0.20 #101Line yards per rush allowed+0.47 #129
+0.1% #102Runs stuffed at the line−0.3% #93
+0.0% #72Opponent runs stuffed−5.0% #127
+0.9% #118Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.0% #103
−2.3% #110Havoc created−2.2% #109
Big plays
+0.012 #70Rushing explosiveness−0.010 #81
+0.156 #53Passing explosiveness+0.045 #97
−0.28 #88Open-field yards per rush−0.63 #129
+0.103 #111Pass explosiveness allowed+0.099 #106
Style and schedule
55% #77Run rate57% #46
−8.8 #86Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−21.5 #138
Ball State: last 5 games
| W34-17 | Covered | |
| W32-31 | Covered | |
| L14-45 | Covered | |
| L24-39 | Covered | |
| L13-26 | Missed |
Massachusetts: last 5 games
| L16-35 | Missed | |
| L18-25 | Missed | |
| L19-20 | Covered | |
| L14-38 | Missed | |
| W35-6 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekBALLMASS
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyBall State–––Massachusetts–––
Ball State–––Massachusetts–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | BALL −1.7 | 49.9 | BALL −119 · MASS +119 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| BALL | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 4-4 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 1-3 |
| 2-1 | Home | 2-2 |
| 1-4 | Away | 2-2 |
| 5-3 | Against the spread | 4-4 |
| 6-2 | Over/under | 2-6 |
| 22.0 / 35.2 | Points for / against | 26.5 / 21.1 |
| -13.2 | Avg margin | +5.4 |
| -0.7 | Avg vs. the spread | +4.0 |
| 56.8 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 54.8 |