College football scores › Week 10 › Buffalo at Miami (OH)
BEAVERBEAVER gives M-OH 73% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Buffalo–––
Miami (OH)–––
Buffalo–––Miami (OH)–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (BUF–M-OH) | 21–31 | – | |
| Spread | M-OH −9.6 | No line | |
| Total | 51.6 | – | |
| M-OH win chance | 73% | – |
BUF by 14+
7%
BUF by 1–13
20%
M-OH by 1–13
34%
M-OH by 14+
39%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.157 #127Offense EPA / play−0.065 #92
+0.139 #114Defense EPA / play allowed+0.066 #83
−9.4% #136Offense success rate−4.9% #114
+3.6% #98Defense success rate allowed+2.4% #88
−0.079 #117Rushing EPA / play+0.041 #65
−0.234 #126Passing EPA / play−0.118 #95
+0.120 #108Rush defense EPA allowed−0.016 #53
+0.169 #107Pass defense EPA allowed+0.157 #103
−9.1 #118Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−5.8 #103
+8.0 #122Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+5.4 #102
Situational
−10.9% #136Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.3% #96
−1.9% #46Passing-down success allowed+4.1% #108
−1.45 #132Points per drive−0.47 #88
+0.76 #110Points per drive allowed+0.63 #100
Trenches
−0.38 #132Line yards per rush−0.00 #88
+0.47 #128Line yards per rush allowed−0.33 #21
+0.0% #99Runs stuffed at the line−1.8% #71
−5.3% #130Opponent runs stuffed+3.3% #28
+0.3% #110Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+0.1% #105
−1.1% #82Havoc created−1.6% #94
Big plays
+0.075 #39Rushing explosiveness+0.106 #27
−0.024 #119Passing explosiveness+0.266 #18
−0.22 #83Open-field yards per rush+0.06 #45
+0.095 #104Pass explosiveness allowed+0.051 #89
Style and schedule
57% #48Run rate56% #60
−15.0 #125Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−13.9 #116
Buffalo: last 5 games
| W31-24 | Covered | |
| W25-18 | Covered | |
| W23-8 | Covered | |
| L17-20 | Covered | |
| W31-28 | Missed |
Miami (OH): last 5 games
| W28-27 | Missed | |
| W34-14 | Covered | |
| W20-19 | Missed | |
| L20-24 | Missed | |
| W24-21 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekBUFM-OH
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyBuffalo–––Miami (OH)–––
Buffalo–––Miami (OH)–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | M-OH −9.6 | 51.6 | BUF +266 · M-OH −266 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| BUF | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 5-3 |
| 3-1 | Conference | 3-1 |
| 4-1 | Home | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | Away | 2-2 |
| 4-4 | Against the spread | 4-4 |
| 4-4 | Over/under | 6-2 |
| 22.6 / 25.4 | Points for / against | 27.0 / 25.8 |
| -2.8 | Avg margin | +1.2 |
| +0.3 | Avg vs. the spread | -2.7 |
| 71.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 53.6 |