BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Northern Illinois at San José State
Northern Illinois0-7away
BEAVER projects20
CEFCU Stadium, 68°, wind 7 mph
San José State4-4home
BEAVER projects32
BEAVERBEAVER gives SJSU 79% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Northern Illinois–––
San José State–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (NIU–SJSU)20–32–
SpreadSJSU −12.6No line
Total52.2–
SJSU win chance79%–
NIU by 14+
5%
NIU by 1–13
17%
SJSU by 1–13
32%
SJSU by 14+
46%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
−0.180 #129Offense EPA / play−0.135 #120
+0.253 #138Defense EPA / play allowed+0.086 #91
−6.5% #130Offense success rate−7.4% #131
+10.1% #137Defense success rate allowed+4.4% #107
−0.034 #102Rushing EPA / play−0.103 #126
−0.237 #127Passing EPA / play−0.160 #108
+0.201 #134Rush defense EPA allowed+0.112 #105
−0.128 #18Pass defense EPA allowed+0.065 #77
−11.4 #128Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−10.4 #122
+13.3 #134Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+4.0 #91
Situational
−10.8% #135Passing-down success (3rd & long)−13.1% #138
+10.0% #135Passing-down success allowed+0.6% #73
−1.14 #117Points per drive−1.44 #131
+1.74 #134Points per drive allowed+0.34 #82
Trenches
+0.10 #69Line yards per rush−0.09 #105
+0.27 #112Line yards per rush allowed+0.26 #109
+0.9% #110Runs stuffed at the line+0.1% #101
−3.2% #113Opponent runs stuffed−4.1% #121
+0.6% #111Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.2% #121
−5.2% #135Havoc created−1.8% #96
Big plays
+0.091 #34Rushing explosiveness−0.055 #99
+0.063 #90Passing explosiveness+0.004 #110
−0.29 #91Open-field yards per rush−0.66 #130
−0.141 #13Pass explosiveness allowed−0.023 #52
Style and schedule
52% #109Run rate51% #114
−5.1 #66Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−14.0 #118

Northern Illinois: last 5 games

L21-56
vsHawai'i
Missed
L23-41
atWyoming
Missed
L7-28
vsAir Force
Missed
L14-35
atGeorgia State
Missed
L17-42
atArizona
Covered

San José State: last 5 games

L13-28
atNevada
Missed
W24-11
atUTEP
Covered
L13-16
vsWyoming
Missed
W20-16
atHawai'i
Covered
L10-26
vsFresno State
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.47−0.34−0.22−0.09+0.03Entering week12345678910Northern Illinois · 1: −0.23Northern Illinois · 2: −0.28Northern Illinois · 3: −0.32Northern Illinois · 4: −0.32Northern Illinois · 5: −0.35Northern Illinois · 6: −0.35Northern Illinois · 7: −0.38Northern Illinois · 8: −0.37Northern Illinois · 9: −0.43Northern Illinois · 10: −0.43San José State · 1: −0.16San José State · 2: −0.04San José State · 3: −0.15San José State · 4: −0.21San José State · 5: −0.22San José State · 6: −0.18San José State · 7: −0.19San José State · 8: −0.21San José State · 9: −0.22San José State · 10: −0.22
● Northern Illinois● San José State