College football scores › Week 10 › New Mexico at Nevada
BEAVERBEAVER gives UNM 73% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
New Mexico–––
Nevada–––
New Mexico–––Nevada–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (UNM–NEV) | 30–20 | – | |
| Spread | UNM −9.9 | No line | |
| Total | 49.5 | – | |
| NEV win chance | 27% | – |
UNM by 14+
40%
UNM by 1–13
34%
NEV by 1–13
20%
NEV by 14+
7%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.038 #84Offense EPA / play−0.143 #122
−0.080 #26Defense EPA / play allowed+0.093 #96
−3.5% #103Offense success rate−5.5% #118
−3.6% #27Defense success rate allowed−0.1% #62
+0.071 #43Rushing EPA / play−0.031 #100
−0.153 #106Passing EPA / play−0.220 #123
−0.055 #35Rush defense EPA allowed+0.080 #95
−0.067 #34Pass defense EPA allowed+0.210 #119
+2.2 #49Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−6.9 #107
−3.6 #36Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+3.9 #89
Situational
−3.1% #79Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.5% #98
−1.8% #48Passing-down success allowed−0.8% #56
+0.33 #51Points per drive−1.25 #123
−0.18 #48Points per drive allowed+0.34 #81
Trenches
+0.02 #82Line yards per rush−0.21 #119
−0.76 #5Line yards per rush allowed+0.23 #104
−3.5% #42Runs stuffed at the line+3.3% #131
+9.6% #2Opponent runs stuffed−3.9% #120
−1.5% #68Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+0.3% #109
+4.9% #5Havoc created−1.1% #83
Big plays
+0.193 #9Rushing explosiveness+0.029 #61
+0.286 #11Passing explosiveness+0.225 #27
−0.10 #71Open-field yards per rush−0.05 #57
−0.024 #50Pass explosiveness allowed+0.141 #127
Style and schedule
64% #11Run rate59% #34
−15.0 #126Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−13.7 #115
New Mexico: last 5 games
| W21-16 | Covered | |
| W21-10 | Missed | |
| W61-7 | Covered | |
| W42-18 | Covered | |
| L6-14 | Covered |
Nevada: last 5 games
| W28-13 | Covered | |
| L17-31 | Covered | |
| W30-13 | Covered | |
| L33-36 | Covered | |
| L20-27 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekUNMNEV
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyNew Mexico–––Nevada–––
New Mexico–––Nevada–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | UNM −9.9 | 49.5 | UNM −277 · NEV +277 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| UNM | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3-0 | Conference | 2-2 |
| 4-0 | Home | 2-2 |
| 2-1 | Away | 1-2 |
| 6-1 | Against the spread | 5-2 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 37.0 / 11.3 | Points for / against | 26.3 / 22.0 |
| +25.7 | Avg margin | +4.3 |
| +13.4 | Avg vs. the spread | +5.1 |
| 52.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 64.1 |