College football scores › Week 10 › Air Force at Army
BEAVERBEAVER gives ARMY 71% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Air Force–––
Army–––
Air Force–––Army–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (AF–ARMY) | 24–33 | – | |
| Spread | ARMY −8.7 | No line | |
| Total | 56.5 | – | |
| ARMY win chance | 71% | – |
AF by 14+
8%
AF by 1–13
21%
ARMY by 1–13
33%
ARMY by 14+
37%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.012 #74Offense EPA / play+0.076 #29
+0.132 #112Defense EPA / play allowed+0.169 #127
+2.8% #40Offense success rate+3.1% #38
+3.9% #100Defense success rate allowed+6.0% #124
+0.134 #27Rushing EPA / play+0.231 #3
−0.657 #138Passing EPA / play−0.242 #128
+0.097 #101Rush defense EPA allowed+0.227 #137
+0.177 #110Pass defense EPA allowed+0.227 #123
−4.8 #94Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+0.5 #62
+4.6 #94Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+2.2 #77
Situational
−6.5% #113Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.6% #99
+2.6% #98Passing-down success allowed+8.6% #133
−0.34 #84Points per drive+0.55 #33
+0.82 #113Points per drive allowed+0.50 #94
Trenches
+0.47 #13Line yards per rush+0.43 #18
+0.36 #121Line yards per rush allowed+0.50 #130
−7.7% #3Runs stuffed at the line−7.6% #5
−4.2% #123Opponent runs stuffed−3.7% #118
−7.5% #1Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−7.1% #3
−3.9% #132Havoc created−4.4% #133
Big plays
+0.020 #66Rushing explosiveness+0.138 #13
−0.018 #117Passing explosiveness+0.135 #62
−0.55 #120Open-field yards per rush+0.26 #24
−0.000 #63Pass explosiveness allowed+0.100 #108
Style and schedule
88% #1Run rate86% #2
−15.2 #129Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−11.8 #106
Air Force: last 5 games
| L14-28 | Missed | |
| W41-31 | Covered | |
| W28-7 | Covered | |
| W14-9 | Covered | |
| W36-33 | Missed |
Army: last 5 games
| W38-35 | Covered | |
| W56-24 | Covered | |
| W20-17 | Missed | |
| L29-31 | Missed | |
| W21-17 | Push |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekAFARMY
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyAir Force–––Army–––
Air Force–––Army–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | ARMY −8.7 | 56.5 | AF +241 · ARMY −241 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| AF | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 5-2 |
| 3-2 | Conference | 4-1 |
| 3-1 | Home | 3-1 |
| 2-1 | Away | 2-1 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread | 3-3-1 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 5-2 |
| 28.4 / 20.9 | Points for / against | 35.3 / 22.1 |
| +7.6 | Avg margin | +13.1 |
| +0.1 | Avg vs. the spread | +5.6 |
| 71.3 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 60.9 |