College football scores › Week 10 › South Florida at East Carolina
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, 61°, wind 11 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives USF 53% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
South Florida–––
East Carolina–––
South Florida–––East Carolina–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (USF–ECU) | 24–23 | – | |
| Spread | USF −1.0 | No line | |
| Total | 46.1 | – | |
| ECU win chance | 47% | – |
USF by 14+
20%
USF by 1–13
32%
ECU by 1–13
31%
ECU by 14+
17%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.079 #97Offense EPA / play−0.077 #96
+0.020 #68Defense EPA / play allowed+0.017 #67
−0.5% #72Offense success rate−4.4% #111
+4.0% #102Defense success rate allowed−2.6% #34
+0.006 #84Rushing EPA / play−0.020 #93
−0.192 #118Passing EPA / play−0.122 #96
−0.073 #31Rush defense EPA allowed+0.027 #75
+0.152 #102Pass defense EPA allowed−0.055 #37
−5.2 #98Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−4.4 #89
−1.7 #48Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+3.3 #83
Situational
−4.0% #90Passing-down success (3rd & long)−7.6% #118
+5.1% #118Passing-down success allowed+2.4% #95
−0.66 #103Points per drive−0.57 #95
+0.10 #69Points per drive allowed+0.37 #85
Trenches
−0.18 #117Line yards per rush−0.02 #92
−0.13 #46Line yards per rush allowed−0.35 #18
+2.5% #127Runs stuffed at the line−1.2% #80
+3.1% #29Opponent runs stuffed+7.8% #5
−0.8% #85Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.5% #125
−0.8% #75Havoc created+0.9% #37
Big plays
−0.045 #93Rushing explosiveness+0.057 #46
−0.190 #137Passing explosiveness+0.181 #41
−0.50 #114Open-field yards per rush+0.31 #21
−0.105 #23Pass explosiveness allowed+0.044 #84
Style and schedule
56% #58Run rate55% #79
−15.5 #131Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−9.9 #92
South Florida: last 5 games
| W29-2 | Covered | |
| L24-31 | Missed | |
| L13-17 | Missed | |
| W14-6 | Missed | |
| W59-17 | Covered |
East Carolina: last 5 games
| L34-41 | Covered | |
| L17-30 | Missed | |
| W28-12 | Covered | |
| W42-9 | Missed | |
| W20-17 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekUSFECU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneySouth Florida–––East Carolina–––
South Florida–––East Carolina–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | USF −1 | 46.1 | USF −111 · ECU +111 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| USF | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 3-4 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 3-1 | Home | 2-1 |
| 2-1 | Away | 1-3 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 3-4 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 2-5 |
| 26.6 / 15.1 | Points for / against | 25.0 / 26.3 |
| +11.4 | Avg margin | -1.3 |
| -1.0 | Avg vs. the spread | -3.9 |
| 57.1 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 61.7 |