BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › UTSA at Florida Atlantic
UTSA7-1away
BEAVER projects38
FAU Stadium, 82°, wind 9 mph
Florida Atlantic5-2home
BEAVER projects28
BEAVERBEAVER gives UTSA 73% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
UTSA–––
Florida Atlantic–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (UTSA–FAU)38–28–
SpreadUTSA −10.0No line
Total65.9–
FAU win chance27%–
UTSA by 14+
40%
UTSA by 1–13
32%
FAU by 1–13
20%
FAU by 14+
7%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.033 #47Offense EPA / play+0.017 #56
+0.044 #77Defense EPA / play allowed+0.222 #135
+1.8% #53Offense success rate+2.0% #48
+0.1% #64Defense success rate allowed+4.6% #108
+0.147 #25Rushing EPA / play+0.044 #63
−0.132 #99Passing EPA / play+0.002 #60
+0.069 #92Rush defense EPA allowed+0.234 #138
+0.124 #98Pass defense EPA allowed+0.115 #96
+3.1 #43Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+1.1 #59
+2.9 #81Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+13.4 #135
Situational
−3.7% #86Passing-down success (3rd & long)+2.8% #31
+0.1% #65Passing-down success allowed+4.7% #115
+0.07 #61Points per drive+0.99 #17
+0.27 #77Points per drive allowed+1.78 #135
Trenches
+0.12 #65Line yards per rush−0.01 #91
+0.09 #80Line yards per rush allowed+0.12 #90
−2.4% #59Runs stuffed at the line−3.3% #48
−2.8% #109Opponent runs stuffed+0.3% #66
−3.6% #23Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.4% #97
−2.5% #114Havoc created−2.6% #115
Big plays
+0.032 #57Rushing explosiveness+0.031 #59
−0.031 #121Passing explosiveness−0.102 #133
+0.13 #35Open-field yards per rush−0.91 #137
+0.223 #134Pass explosiveness allowed+0.138 #125
Style and schedule
56% #56Run rate48% #130
−7.1 #78Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−15.4 #130

UTSA: last 5 games

W42-19
atTulane
Covered
W38-34
vsNavy
Missed
W31-24
vsSouth Florida
Covered
W16-14
atRice
Missed
W59-45
vsColorado State
Missed

Florida Atlantic: last 5 games

W51-49
vsRice
Missed
L24-56
atArmy
Missed
W66-10
vsTexas Southern
Covered
W45-17
atUL Monroe
Covered
W16-10
vsFIU
Covered

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.24−0.15−0.06+0.03+0.13Entering week12345678910UTSA · 1: −0.02UTSA · 2: +0.03UTSA · 3: +0.05UTSA · 4: +0.10UTSA · 5: +0.09UTSA · 6: +0.06UTSA · 7: +0.05UTSA · 8: +0.01UTSA · 9: −0.01UTSA · 10: −0.01Florida Atlantic · 1: −0.16Florida Atlantic · 2: −0.21Florida Atlantic · 3: −0.17Florida Atlantic · 4: −0.16Florida Atlantic · 5: −0.18Florida Atlantic · 6: −0.17Florida Atlantic · 7: −0.18Florida Atlantic · 8: −0.18Florida Atlantic · 9: −0.21Florida Atlantic · 10: −0.21
● UTSA● Florida Atlantic