College football scores › Week 9 › Temple at East Carolina
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, 67°, wind 12 mph
BEAVEROver 49.5, leanleanECU −6, leanleanBEAVER gives ECU 68% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Temple
East Carolina
TempleEast CarolinaBEAVER’s card
LeanOver 49.5, lean2.4 points off the line
- ECU −6 lean, 1.6 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (TEM–ECU) | 22–30 | – | |
| Spread | ECU −7.6 | ECU −6 | ECU −6 |
| Total | 51.9 | 49.5 | Over 49.5 |
| ECU win chance | 68% | −230 |
TEM by 14+
9%
TEM by 1–13
23%
ECU by 1–13
34%
ECU by 14+
34%
Spread: 1.6 pts better than Vegas for East Carolina (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 2.4 pts above Vegas (51% historically). Opened ECU −4.5.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.010 #61Offense EPA / play−0.077 #96
+0.169 #125Defense EPA / play allowed+0.017 #67
−2.0% #87Offense success rate−4.4% #111
+7.0% #130Defense success rate allowed−2.6% #34
+0.056 #52Rushing EPA / play−0.020 #93
−0.046 #75Passing EPA / play−0.122 #96
+0.121 #109Rush defense EPA allowed+0.027 #75
+0.231 #124Pass defense EPA allowed−0.055 #37
−5.8 #102Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−4.4 #89
+6.1 #105Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+3.3 #83
Situational
−5.3% #105Passing-down success (3rd & long)−7.6% #118
+10.4% #136Passing-down success allowed+2.4% #95
−0.61 #98Points per drive−0.57 #95
+0.70 #105Points per drive allowed+0.37 #85
Trenches
+0.30 #35Line yards per rush−0.02 #92
+0.12 #89Line yards per rush allowed−0.35 #18
−2.2% #67Runs stuffed at the line−1.2% #80
−3.3% #114Opponent runs stuffed+7.8% #5
−2.5% #43Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.5% #125
−5.8% #136Havoc created+0.9% #37
Big plays
−0.002 #77Rushing explosiveness+0.057 #46
+0.321 #8Passing explosiveness+0.181 #41
+0.13 #36Open-field yards per rush+0.31 #21
−0.014 #60Pass explosiveness allowed+0.044 #84
Style and schedule
65% #10Run rate55% #79
−8.9 #88Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−9.9 #92
Temple: last 5 games
| L31-38 | Missed | |
| L20-34 | Missed | |
| W17-13 | Covered | |
| L17-21 | Push | |
| L48-49 | Covered |
East Carolina: last 5 games
| L34-41 | Covered | |
| L17-30 | Missed | |
| W28-12 | Covered | |
| W42-9 | Missed | |
| W20-17 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekTEMECU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyTempleEast Carolina
TempleEast CarolinaLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | ECU −6 | 49.5 | TEM +190 · ECU −230 |
| BEAVER fair line | ECU −7.6 | 51.9 | TEM +217 · ECU −217 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| TEM | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 1-4 | Home | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | Away | 1-3 |
| 4-2-1 | Against the spread | 3-4 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 2-5 |
| 25.7 / 28.0 | Points for / against | 25.0 / 26.3 |
| -2.3 | Avg margin | -1.3 |
| -1.9 | Avg vs. the spread | -3.9 |
| 57.3 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 61.7 |