College football scores › Week 9 › Army at Memphis
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, 66°, wind 10 mph
BEAVERUnder 59.5, leanleanARMY +6, leanleanBEAVER gives MEM 64% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Army
Memphis
ArmyMemphisBEAVER’s card
LeanUnder 59.5, lean1.3 points off the line
- ARMY +6 lean, 0.2 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (ARMY–MEM) | 26–32 | – | |
| Spread | MEM −5.8 | MEM −6 | ARMY +6 |
| Total | 58.2 | 59.5 | Under 59.5 |
| MEM win chance | 64% | −230 |
ARMY by 14+
11%
ARMY by 1–13
25%
MEM by 1–13
33%
MEM by 14+
31%
Spread: 0.2 pts better than Vegas for Army (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 1.3 pts below Vegas (52% historically).
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.076 #29Offense EPA / play+0.019 #53
+0.169 #127Defense EPA / play allowed+0.062 #81
+3.1% #38Offense success rate+3.3% #35
+6.0% #124Defense success rate allowed−0.4% #55
+0.231 #3Rushing EPA / play+0.031 #70
−0.242 #128Passing EPA / play+0.143 #24
+0.227 #137Rush defense EPA allowed+0.135 #115
+0.227 #123Pass defense EPA allowed−0.008 #47
+0.5 #62Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+3.4 #40
+2.2 #77Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+3.1 #82
Situational
−4.6% #99Passing-down success (3rd & long)−1.0% #61
+8.6% #133Passing-down success allowed−3.1% #33
+0.55 #33Points per drive+0.03 #66
+0.50 #94Points per drive allowed+0.20 #73
Trenches
+0.43 #18Line yards per rush+0.39 #23
+0.50 #130Line yards per rush allowed+0.23 #105
−7.6% #5Runs stuffed at the line−4.4% #30
−3.7% #118Opponent runs stuffed−3.1% #111
−7.1% #3Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.6% #63
−4.4% #133Havoc created+0.6% #43
Big plays
+0.138 #13Rushing explosiveness−0.049 #94
+0.135 #62Passing explosiveness+0.236 #24
+0.26 #24Open-field yards per rush+0.22 #29
+0.100 #108Pass explosiveness allowed+0.121 #120
Style and schedule
86% #2Run rate58% #40
−11.8 #106Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−11.6 #105
Army: last 5 games
| W38-35 | Covered | |
| W56-24 | Covered | |
| W20-17 | Missed | |
| L29-31 | Missed | |
| W21-17 | Push |
Memphis: last 5 games
| W41-34 | Missed | |
| L17-31 | Missed | |
| W38-13 | Covered | |
| W59-8 | Covered | |
| W45-21 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekARMYMEM
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyArmyMemphis
ArmyMemphisLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MEM −6 | 59.5 | ARMY +190 · MEM −230 |
| BEAVER fair line | MEM −5.8 | 58.2 | ARMY +178 · MEM −178 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| ARMY | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 6-2 |
| 4-1 | Conference | 3-1 |
| 3-1 | Home | 4-0 |
| 2-1 | Away | 2-2 |
| 3-3-1 | Against the spread | 4-4 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 5-3 |
| 35.3 / 22.1 | Points for / against | 36.1 / 23.8 |
| +13.1 | Avg margin | +12.4 |
| +5.6 | Avg vs. the spread | +2.2 |
| 60.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 66.6 |