College football scores › Week 9 › Tulane at Charlotte
Jerry Richardson Stadium, 71°, wind 4 mph
BEAVERTULN −10, leanleanOver 46.5, leanleanBEAVER gives TULN 78% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Tulane
Charlotte
TulaneCharlotteBEAVER’s card
LeanTULN −10, lean2.2 points off the line
- Over 46.5 lean, 1.0 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (TULN–CLT) | 30–18 | – | |
| Spread | TULN −12.2 | TULN −10 | TULN −10 |
| Total | 47.5 | 46.5 | Over 46.5 |
| CLT win chance | 22% | +310 |
TULN by 14+
46%
TULN by 1–13
33%
CLT by 1–13
17%
CLT by 14+
5%
Spread: 2.2 pts better than Vegas for Tulane (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 1.0 pts above Vegas (52% historically). Opened TULN −13.5.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.092 #103Offense EPA / play−0.218 #135
+0.013 #65Defense EPA / play allowed+0.155 #121
−8.8% #135Offense success rate−8.4% #133
+1.7% #82Defense success rate allowed+7.8% #133
−0.016 #92Rushing EPA / play−0.244 #138
−0.160 #109Passing EPA / play−0.167 #112
+0.001 #64Rush defense EPA allowed+0.130 #112
−0.001 #53Pass defense EPA allowed+0.197 #117
−8.6 #115Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−11.6 #129
−1.6 #49Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+13.1 #133
Situational
−9.9% #129Passing-down success (3rd & long)−6.1% #110
+4.5% #114Passing-down success allowed+7.8% #132
−1.03 #110Points per drive−1.29 #128
−0.35 #40Points per drive allowed+1.56 #131
Trenches
−0.26 #125Line yards per rush−0.45 #133
+0.18 #97Line yards per rush allowed+0.16 #95
−0.2% #97Runs stuffed at the line+5.3% #135
−1.1% #84Opponent runs stuffed+2.8% #34
+3.0% #135Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.9% #130
−0.2% #61Havoc created−3.2% #123
Big plays
+0.360 #1Rushing explosiveness−0.304 #138
+0.199 #35Passing explosiveness+0.113 #70
+0.70 #4Open-field yards per rush+0.01 #49
+0.062 #92Pass explosiveness allowed−0.164 #11
Style and schedule
54% #83Run rate51% #115
−2.8 #45Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−6.1 #73
Tulane: last 5 games
| L19-42 | Missed | |
| W31-17 | Covered | |
| L17-20 | Covered | |
| W24-21 | Missed | |
| L20-31 | Covered |
Charlotte: last 5 games
| W38-31 | Covered | |
| L10-50 | Missed | |
| L8-59 | Missed | |
| L7-34 | Missed | |
| L21-26 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekTULNCLT
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Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyTulaneCharlotte
TulaneCharlotteLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TULN −10 | 46.5 | TULN −395 · CLT +310 |
| BEAVER fair line | TULN −12.2 | 47.5 | TULN −360 · CLT +360 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| TULN | CLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 1-6 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 3-1 | Home | 0-3 |
| 0-3 | Away | 1-3 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 3-4 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 4-3 |
| 20.3 / 24.6 | Points for / against | 19.1 / 40.6 |
| -4.3 | Avg margin | -21.4 |
| -1.7 | Avg vs. the spread | -5.2 |
| 59.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 51.4 |