College football scores › Week 7 › Charlotte at Temple
BEAVER CLT +19.5, wonBEAVER Over 46.5, wonBEAVER had TEM 87% to win
BEAVER against the market
Locked at kickoff, graded on the closing line| BEAVER | Sam | Market | Result | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score (CLT–TEM) | 16–34 | 15–36 | – | 38–31 | |
| Spread | TEM −17.9 | TEM −21.5 | TEM −19.5 | CLT by 7 | CLT +19.5 ✓ |
| Total | 50.6 | 51.3 | 46.5 | 69 | Over 46.5 ✓ |
| TEM win chance | 87% | – | −1350 | Lost |
CLT by 14+
2%
CLT by 1–13
11%
TEM by 1–13
27%
TEM by 14+
60%
Spread: 1.6 pts better than Vegas for Charlotte (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 4.1 pts above Vegas (49% historically). Opened TEM −23.5.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.263 #138Offense EPA / play+0.011 #56
+0.162 #123Defense EPA / play allowed+0.150 #118
−10.2% #137Offense success rate−2.0% #88
+8.7% #135Defense success rate allowed+6.1% #123
−0.240 #138Rushing EPA / play+0.039 #68
−0.256 #128Passing EPA / play−0.018 #61
+0.109 #108Rush defense EPA allowed+0.126 #114
+0.207 #119Pass defense EPA allowed+0.168 #108
−14.2 #136Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−5.0 #94
+14.5 #137Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+4.7 #98
Situational
−10.9% #132Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.1% #93
+8.9% #131Passing-down success allowed+6.9% #122
−1.53 #135Points per drive−0.50 #92
+1.67 #133Points per drive allowed+0.53 #100
Trenches
−0.50 #135Line yards per rush+0.32 #33
+0.20 #99Line yards per rush allowed+0.08 #80
+4.8% #134Runs stuffed at the line−3.0% #52
+1.7% #45Opponent runs stuffed−3.3% #118
+2.9% #134Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−3.2% #32
−4.0% #132Havoc created−5.0% #136
Big plays
−0.310 #138Rushing explosiveness−0.054 #100
+0.084 #78Passing explosiveness+0.360 #5
+0.00 #50Open-field yards per rush+0.10 #42
−0.179 #11Pass explosiveness allowed−0.073 #34
Style and schedule
50% #122Run rate65% #10
−6.4 #62Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−7.2 #71
Charlotte: last 5 games
| L10-50 | Missed | |
| L8-59 | Missed | |
| L7-34 | Missed | |
| L21-26 | Covered | |
| L9-41 | Covered |
Temple: last 5 games
| L20-34 | Missed | |
| W17-13 | Covered | |
| L17-21 | Push | |
| L48-49 | Covered | |
| L9-27 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekCLTTEM
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Closing lines
the last line before kickoff| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | TEM −19.5 | 46.5 | CLT +800 · TEM −1350 |
| BEAVER fair line | TEM −17.9 | 50.6 | CLT +672 · TEM −672 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| CLT | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 2-5 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 0-3 | Home | 1-4 |
| 1-3 | Away | 1-1 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 4-2-1 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 19.1 / 40.6 | Points for / against | 25.7 / 28.0 |
| -21.4 | Avg margin | -2.3 |
| -5.2 | Avg vs. the spread | -1.9 |
| 51.4 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 57.3 |