College football scores › Week 6 › Washington State at Utah State
BEAVER Over 43.5, lostBEAVER had USU 64% to win
BEAVER against the market
Locked at kickoff, graded on the closing line| BEAVER | Sam | Market | Result | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score (WSU–USU) | 19–25 | 14–25 | – | 16–17 | |
| Spread | USU −5.5 | USU −10.9 | USU −5.5 | USU by 1 | |
| Total | 44.0 | 39.1 | 43.5 | 33 | Over 43.5 ✗ |
| USU win chance | 64% | – | −185 | Won |
WSU by 14+
11%
WSU by 1–13
26%
USU by 1–13
34%
USU by 14+
29%
Total: 0.5 pts above Vegas (52% historically).
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.195 #131Offense EPA / play−0.138 #117
+0.029 #70Defense EPA / play allowed+0.025 #67
−6.9% #130Offense success rate−4.7% #111
+2.0% #84Defense success rate allowed+0.9% #71
−0.096 #119Rushing EPA / play−0.039 #103
−0.253 #127Passing EPA / play−0.202 #118
+0.051 #85Rush defense EPA allowed+0.027 #66
+0.013 #59Pass defense EPA allowed+0.038 #68
−8.6 #115Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−8.8 #118
+1.5 #77Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+0.0 #64
Situational
−11.6% #137Passing-down success (3rd & long)−0.2% #55
−0.1% #70Passing-down success allowed−1.4% #54
−1.17 #122Points per drive−1.13 #120
−0.12 #53Points per drive allowed−0.04 #61
Trenches
−0.11 #105Line yards per rush+0.11 #68
+0.06 #76Line yards per rush allowed−0.06 #59
+1.8% #120Runs stuffed at the line−0.4% #92
−0.6% #78Opponent runs stuffed−1.2% #89
+2.1% #129Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.4% #121
−2.7% #112Havoc created−2.4% #110
Big plays
+0.125 #25Rushing explosiveness+0.044 #58
−0.133 #134Passing explosiveness+0.267 #24
−0.22 #81Open-field yards per rush−0.08 #61
+0.091 #101Pass explosiveness allowed−0.157 #12
Style and schedule
54% #90Run rate53% #98
−5.2 #44Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−0.6 #18
Washington State: last 5 games
| L6-26 | Missed | |
| L24-34 | Covered | |
| W48-7 | Covered | |
| L7-34 | Missed | |
| L10-24 | Covered |
Utah State: last 5 games
| L18-37 | Covered | |
| W21-10 | Covered | |
| L0-33 | Missed | |
| L14-16 | Covered | |
| L17-29 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekWSUUSU
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Closing lines
the last line before kickoff| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | USU −5.5 | 43.5 | WSU +154 · USU −185 |
| BEAVER fair line | USU −5.5 | 44.0 | WSU +176 · USU −176 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| WSU | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 2-5 |
| 0-4 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 1-3 | Home | 2-1 |
| 0-4 | Away | 0-4 |
| 5-3 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 3-5 | Over/under | 1-6 |
| 18.9 / 27.6 | Points for / against | 14.9 / 23.0 |
| -8.8 | Avg margin | -8.1 |
| -2.7 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.4 |
| 62.6 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 61.7 |