College football scores › Week 10 › Fresno State at Utah State
Maverik Stadium, 49°, wind 4 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives FRES 56% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Fresno State–––
Utah State–––
Fresno State–––Utah State–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (FRES–USU) | 23–20 | – | |
| Spread | FRES −2.4 | No line | |
| Total | 42.8 | – | |
| USU win chance | 44% | – |
FRES by 14+
23%
FRES by 1–13
33%
USU by 1–13
29%
USU by 14+
14%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.057 #89Offense EPA / play−0.149 #124
+0.005 #58Defense EPA / play allowed−0.016 #46
−3.0% #94Offense success rate−5.9% #124
+2.3% #87Defense success rate allowed−0.5% #52
−0.099 #123Rushing EPA / play−0.082 #119
+0.052 #46Passing EPA / play−0.213 #121
−0.027 #45Rush defense EPA allowed−0.019 #48
+0.088 #87Pass defense EPA allowed−0.011 #46
−3.2 #81Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−10.5 #123
−0.9 #58Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−1.2 #55
Situational
+0.4% #49Passing-down success (3rd & long)−2.0% #68
+1.2% #81Passing-down success allowed−3.7% #26
−0.32 #83Points per drive−1.27 #124
+0.29 #79Points per drive allowed−0.06 #57
Trenches
−0.21 #118Line yards per rush−0.00 #87
+0.03 #71Line yards per rush allowed−0.15 #42
+4.1% #132Runs stuffed at the line−0.5% #92
−0.2% #75Opponent runs stuffed+1.0% #58
−2.3% #47Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.4% #124
+0.1% #55Havoc created−1.8% #97
Big plays
−0.055 #98Rushing explosiveness+0.002 #75
+0.048 #96Passing explosiveness+0.228 #26
+0.01 #50Open-field yards per rush−0.24 #86
+0.005 #67Pass explosiveness allowed−0.224 #6
Style and schedule
54% #85Run rate54% #90
−9.3 #90Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−3.2 #49
Fresno State: last 5 games
| L23-26 | Missed | |
| L31-38 | Covered | |
| W26-6 | Covered | |
| W38-24 | Covered | |
| W26-10 | Covered |
Utah State: last 5 games
| L17-20 | Covered | |
| W17-16 | Missed | |
| L18-37 | Covered | |
| W21-10 | Covered | |
| L0-33 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekFRESUSU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyFresno State–––Utah State–––
Fresno State–––Utah State–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | FRES −2.4 | 42.8 | FRES −128 · USU +128 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| FRES | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 2-5 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 2-1 | Home | 2-1 |
| 2-2 | Away | 0-4 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 1-6 |
| 27.6 / 20.9 | Points for / against | 14.9 / 23.0 |
| +6.7 | Avg margin | -8.1 |
| +5.6 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.4 |
| 56.4 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 61.7 |