BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Texas State at Oregon State
Texas State4-3away
BEAVER projects28
Reser Stadium, 48°, wind 5 mph
Oregon State5-2home
BEAVER projects33
BEAVERBEAVER gives ORST 62% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Texas State–––
Oregon State–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (TXST–ORST)28–33–
SpreadORST −4.9No line
Total61.4–
ORST win chance62%–
TXST by 14+
12%
TXST by 1–13
26%
ORST by 1–13
33%
ORST by 14+
29%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.106 #24Offense EPA / play+0.102 #26
+0.082 #89Defense EPA / play allowed+0.044 #76
+5.3% #20Offense success rate+3.2% #37
+3.1% #93Defense success rate allowed−0.1% #60
+0.154 #22Rushing EPA / play+0.054 #55
+0.103 #30Passing EPA / play+0.093 #32
−0.046 #39Rush defense EPA allowed+0.048 #84
+0.196 #115Pass defense EPA allowed+0.012 #55
+3.8 #39Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+6.1 #26
+4.0 #90Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−0.2 #62
Situational
+12.7% #1Passing-down success (3rd & long)+4.3% #21
+2.4% #93Passing-down success allowed−0.3% #61
+0.56 #32Points per drive+1.08 #14
+0.93 #117Points per drive allowed+0.14 #71
Trenches
+0.22 #46Line yards per rush+0.31 #34
−0.14 #45Line yards per rush allowed+0.17 #96
−2.4% #58Runs stuffed at the line−6.2% #9
+5.7% #10Opponent runs stuffed−3.2% #112
−3.0% #33Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−3.5% #27
−2.2% #108Havoc created−0.1% #58
Big plays
+0.056 #47Rushing explosiveness−0.088 #114
+0.172 #47Passing explosiveness+0.217 #28
+0.92 #2Open-field yards per rush−0.10 #69
−0.090 #26Pass explosiveness allowed+0.009 #71
Style and schedule
62% #17Run rate45% #136
−4.5 #62Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−7.9 #82

Texas State: last 5 games

W20-17
vsUtah State
Missed
W66-27
vsColorado State
Covered
L29-31
atSan Diego State
Missed
W63-10
vsIncarnate Word
Covered
W49-35
vsNorth Texas
Covered

Oregon State: last 5 games

W48-30
vsWashington State
Missed
W66-14
vsSan Diego State
Covered
W56-26
atColorado State
Covered
W33-7
atUTEP
Covered
W52-17
vsMontana
Covered

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.18−0.10−0.02+0.05+0.13Entering week12345678910Texas State · 1: −0.04Texas State · 2: −0.03Texas State · 3: −0.07Texas State · 4: +0.01Texas State · 5: +0.08Texas State · 6: +0.06Texas State · 7: +0.05Texas State · 8: +0.08Texas State · 9: +0.02Texas State · 10: +0.02Oregon State · 1: −0.16Oregon State · 2: −0.14Oregon State · 3: −0.08Oregon State · 4: −0.03Oregon State · 5: +0.04Oregon State · 6: +0.07Oregon State · 7: +0.11Oregon State · 8: +0.07Oregon State · 9: +0.06Oregon State · 10: +0.06
● Texas State● Oregon State