BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Boise State at Colorado State
Boise StateNo. 206-1away
BEAVER projects45
Canvas Stadium, 58°, wind 4 mph
Colorado State3-4home
BEAVER projects27
BEAVERBEAVER gives BOIS 86% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Boise State–––
Colorado State–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (BOIS–CSU)45–27–
SpreadBOIS −18.0No line
Total71.6–
CSU win chance14%–
BOIS by 14+
59%
BOIS by 1–13
26%
CSU by 1–13
11%
CSU by 14+
3%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.168 #12Offense EPA / play+0.075 #31
−0.004 #51Defense EPA / play allowed+0.229 #137
+4.6% #26Offense success rate+1.8% #51
−2.6% #33Defense success rate allowed+11.1% #138
+0.191 #11Rushing EPA / play+0.120 #29
+0.178 #14Passing EPA / play+0.051 #47
+0.090 #100Rush defense EPA allowed+0.222 #136
−0.080 #31Pass defense EPA allowed+0.350 #138
+6.2 #25Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+4.8 #33
−2.9 #39Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+16.7 #138
Situational
+7.3% #11Passing-down success (3rd & long)+4.6% #18
+1.1% #79Passing-down success allowed+12.9% #138
+0.72 #26Points per drive+0.12 #60
−0.24 #43Points per drive allowed+1.67 #132
Trenches
+0.47 #14Line yards per rush−0.10 #106
−0.15 #43Line yards per rush allowed+0.62 #137
−6.8% #8Runs stuffed at the line−0.8% #86
+4.7% #16Opponent runs stuffed−6.5% #135
−6.5% #5Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.6% #62
+1.3% #30Havoc created−1.6% #95
Big plays
+0.121 #22Rushing explosiveness+0.202 #8
+0.154 #55Passing explosiveness+0.174 #44
+0.23 #28Open-field yards per rush+0.35 #17
+0.265 #136Pass explosiveness allowed+0.099 #107
Style and schedule
64% #12Run rate53% #101
−3.2 #50Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−5.1 #65

Boise State: last 5 games

W31-10
atWashington State
Covered
W38-31
atFresno State
Missed
W37-18
vsUtah State
Missed
W32-7
atWestern Michigan
Covered
W38-24
vsSouth Dakota
Missed

Colorado State: last 5 games

W56-49
vsSan Diego State
Covered
L27-66
atTexas State
Missed
L26-56
vsOregon State
Missed
L45-59
atUTSA
Covered
L23-41
vsBYU
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.18−0.09+0.01+0.10+0.20Entering week12345678910Boise State · 1: +0.01Boise State · 2: +0.09Boise State · 3: +0.13Boise State · 4: +0.09Boise State · 5: +0.17Boise State · 6: +0.17Boise State · 7: +0.16Boise State · 8: +0.15Boise State · 9: +0.17Boise State · 10: +0.17Colorado State · 1: −0.16Colorado State · 2: −0.08Colorado State · 3: −0.04Colorado State · 4: −0.11Colorado State · 5: −0.05Colorado State · 6: −0.12Colorado State · 7: −0.11Colorado State · 8: −0.15Colorado State · 9: −0.15Colorado State · 10: −0.15
● Boise State● Colorado State