College football scores › Week 9 › Colorado State at Utah State
Maverik Stadium, 56°, wind 6 mph
BEAVERUnder 63.5, best betbest betUSU −6.5, leanleanBEAVER gives USU 69% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Colorado State
Utah State
Colorado StateUtah StateBEAVER’s card
Best betUnder 63.5, best bet6.0 points off the line
- USU −6.5 lean, 1.4 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (CSU–USU) | 25–33 | – | |
| Spread | USU −7.9 | USU −6.5 | USU −6.5 |
| Total | 57.5 | 63.5 | Under 63.5 |
| USU win chance | 69% | −230 |
CSU by 14+
9%
CSU by 1–13
22%
USU by 1–13
34%
USU by 14+
35%
Spread: 1.4 pts better than Vegas for Utah State (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 6.0 pts below Vegas (49% historically). Opened USU −3.5.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.075 #31Offense EPA / play−0.149 #124
+0.229 #137Defense EPA / play allowed−0.016 #46
+1.8% #51Offense success rate−5.9% #124
+11.1% #138Defense success rate allowed−0.5% #52
+0.120 #29Rushing EPA / play−0.082 #119
+0.051 #47Passing EPA / play−0.213 #121
+0.222 #136Rush defense EPA allowed−0.019 #48
+0.350 #138Pass defense EPA allowed−0.011 #46
+4.8 #33Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−10.5 #123
+16.7 #138Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−1.2 #55
Situational
+4.6% #18Passing-down success (3rd & long)−2.0% #68
+12.9% #138Passing-down success allowed−3.7% #26
+0.12 #60Points per drive−1.27 #124
+1.67 #132Points per drive allowed−0.06 #57
Trenches
−0.10 #106Line yards per rush−0.00 #87
+0.62 #137Line yards per rush allowed−0.15 #42
−0.8% #86Runs stuffed at the line−0.5% #92
−6.5% #135Opponent runs stuffed+1.0% #58
−1.6% #62Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+1.4% #124
−1.6% #95Havoc created−1.8% #97
Big plays
+0.202 #8Rushing explosiveness+0.002 #75
+0.174 #44Passing explosiveness+0.228 #26
+0.35 #17Open-field yards per rush−0.24 #86
+0.099 #107Pass explosiveness allowed−0.224 #6
Style and schedule
53% #101Run rate54% #90
−5.1 #65Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−3.2 #49
Colorado State: last 5 games
| W56-49 | Covered | |
| L27-66 | Missed | |
| L26-56 | Missed | |
| L45-59 | Covered | |
| L23-41 | Missed |
Utah State: last 5 games
| L17-20 | Covered | |
| W17-16 | Missed | |
| L18-37 | Covered | |
| W21-10 | Covered | |
| L0-33 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekCSUUSU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyColorado StateUtah State
Colorado StateUtah StateLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | USU −6.5 | 63.5 | CSU +190 · USU −230 |
| BEAVER fair line | USU −7.9 | 57.5 | CSU +221 · USU −221 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| CSU | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 2-5 |
| 1-2 | Conference | 1-2 |
| 3-2 | Home | 2-1 |
| 0-2 | Away | 0-4 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 7-0 | Over/under | 1-6 |
| 38.6 / 44.0 | Points for / against | 14.9 / 23.0 |
| -5.4 | Avg margin | -8.1 |
| -0.6 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.4 |
| 59.1 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 61.7 |