BEAVER
College football scores › Week 7 › Washington State at Oregon State
Washington State1-7away
30
FinalReser Stadium, 61°, wind 10 mph
Oregon State5-2home
48
BEAVER ORST −18.5, lostBEAVER Under 52.5, lostBEAVER had ORST 90% to win

BEAVER against the market

Locked at kickoff, graded on the closing line
BEAVERSamMarketResultCall
Score (WSU–ORST)15–3510–41–30–48
SpreadORST −20.1ORST −31.1ORST −18.5ORST by 18ORST −18.5 ✗
Total49.951.352.578Under 52.5 ✗
ORST win chance90%–−1000Won
WSU by 14+
2%
WSU by 1–13
9%
ORST by 1–13
25%
ORST by 14+
65%

Spread: 1.6 pts better than Vegas for Oregon State (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 2.6 pts below Vegas (51% historically). Opened ORST −17.5.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
−0.195 #129Offense EPA / play+0.103 #24
+0.014 #63Defense EPA / play allowed−0.005 #51
−7.8% #131Offense success rate+4.3% #28
+0.8% #75Defense success rate allowed−1.2% #47
−0.116 #123Rushing EPA / play+0.031 #72
−0.258 #129Passing EPA / play+0.093 #34
+0.031 #73Rush defense EPA allowed−0.015 #47
−0.033 #42Pass defense EPA allowed−0.034 #41
−8.9 #113Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+5.7 #27
+1.1 #70Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−1.7 #48
Situational
−12.7% #138Passing-down success (3rd & long)+7.1% #7
−1.5% #56Passing-down success allowed−1.5% #55
−1.17 #118Points per drive+1.14 #16
−0.09 #54Points per drive allowed+0.00 #58
Trenches
−0.17 #113Line yards per rush+0.34 #31
+0.05 #76Line yards per rush allowed+0.08 #79
+3.1% #129Runs stuffed at the line−7.2% #5
−0.5% #79Opponent runs stuffed−2.5% #106
+2.7% #132Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−3.5% #28
−2.6% #111Havoc created+0.7% #44
Big plays
+0.151 #18Rushing explosiveness−0.087 #112
−0.196 #138Passing explosiveness+0.152 #56
−0.19 #75Open-field yards per rush−0.05 #59
+0.099 #100Pass explosiveness allowed−0.036 #52
Style and schedule
53% #99Run rate45% #136
−6.5 #63Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−6.4 #61

Washington State: last 5 games

L16-17
atUtah State
Covered
L6-26
vsFresno State
Missed
L24-34
vsArizona
Covered
W48-7
vsDuquesne
Covered
L7-34
atKansas State
Missed

Oregon State: last 5 games

W66-14
vsSan Diego State
Covered
W56-26
atColorado State
Covered
W33-7
atUTEP
Covered
W52-17
vsMontana
Covered
L24-35
vsTexas Tech
Covered

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.25−0.15−0.06+0.04+0.13Entering week1234567Washington State · 1: −0.09Washington State · 2: −0.06Washington State · 3: −0.11Washington State · 4: −0.13Washington State · 5: −0.16Washington State · 6: −0.22Washington State · 7: −0.21Oregon State · 1: −0.16Oregon State · 2: −0.14Oregon State · 3: −0.08Oregon State · 4: −0.03Oregon State · 5: +0.04Oregon State · 6: +0.07Oregon State · 7: +0.11
● Washington State● Oregon State