College football scores › Week 10 › Rutgers at Wisconsin
Camp Randall Stadium, 46°, wind 11 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives WIS 86% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Rutgers–––
Wisconsin–––
Rutgers–––Wisconsin–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (RUTG–WIS) | 18–35 | – | |
| Spread | WIS −17.4 | No line | |
| Total | 52.5 | – | |
| WIS win chance | 86% | – |
RUTG by 14+
2%
RUTG by 1–13
11%
WIS by 1–13
28%
WIS by 14+
58%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.009 #63Offense EPA / play+0.011 #60
+0.163 #123Defense EPA / play allowed−0.149 #12
+2.3% #45Offense success rate−1.7% #83
+6.2% #125Defense success rate allowed−4.8% #19
+0.014 #80Rushing EPA / play+0.157 #20
+0.062 #42Passing EPA / play−0.088 #88
+0.209 #135Rush defense EPA allowed−0.065 #33
+0.160 #104Pass defense EPA allowed−0.219 #7
+0.7 #60Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+0.0 #64
+8.1 #123Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−10.7 #6
Situational
+4.5% #19Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.3% #97
+4.3% #110Passing-down success allowed−7.5% #7
+0.19 #57Points per drive+0.20 #55
+0.91 #116Points per drive allowed−1.18 #7
Trenches
+0.15 #58Line yards per rush+0.25 #43
+0.20 #102Line yards per rush allowed−0.34 #19
−4.8% #25Runs stuffed at the line−5.6% #13
+0.1% #70Opponent runs stuffed+0.3% #65
−0.7% #87Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.6% #64
−2.5% #113Havoc created+1.8% #26
Big plays
−0.000 #76Rushing explosiveness+0.263 #4
+0.335 #6Passing explosiveness+0.143 #57
+0.05 #46Open-field yards per rush−0.16 #77
−0.042 #38Pass explosiveness allowed−0.216 #7
Style and schedule
57% #53Run rate61% #23
−4.6 #63Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+1.8 #20
Rutgers: last 5 games
| L14-42 | Missed | |
| W37-30 | Covered | |
| L15-47 | Missed | |
| W58-7 | Covered | |
| L35-42 | Covered |
Wisconsin: last 5 games
| W24-7 | Covered | |
| L7-17 | Missed | |
| W31-3 | Covered | |
| W24-20 | Covered | |
| W54-10 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekRUTGWIS
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyRutgers–––Wisconsin–––
Rutgers–––Wisconsin–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | WIS −17.4 | 52.5 | RUTG +630 · WIS −630 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| RUTG | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 5-2 |
| 1-3 | Conference | 3-1 |
| 1-3 | Home | 4-0 |
| 1-2 | Away | 1-1 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 4-3 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 28.7 / 33.3 | Points for / against | 27.0 / 15.3 |
| -4.6 | Avg margin | +11.7 |
| -4.9 | Avg vs. the spread | +5.7 |
| 56.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 55.0 |