BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Penn State at Washington
Penn State3-4away
BEAVER projects23
Husky Stadium, 54°, wind 4 mph
Washington4-3home
BEAVER projects27
BEAVERBEAVER gives WASH 59% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Penn State–––
Washington–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (PSU–WASH)23–27–
SpreadWASH −3.7No line
Total49.5–
WASH win chance59%–
PSU by 14+
13%
PSU by 1–13
28%
WASH by 1–13
34%
WASH by 14+
26%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.027 #48Offense EPA / play+0.012 #59
−0.036 #41Defense EPA / play allowed−0.049 #35
−0.4% #71Offense success rate+1.8% #49
−2.4% #38Defense success rate allowed−0.7% #49
−0.049 #110Rushing EPA / play−0.038 #104
+0.142 #25Passing EPA / play+0.086 #35
+0.090 #99Rush defense EPA allowed−0.042 #41
−0.211 #8Pass defense EPA allowed−0.004 #49
+2.5 #46Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+0.0 #65
−5.3 #29Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−1.4 #52
Situational
+1.0% #47Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.6% #100
−3.5% #27Passing-down success allowed−0.2% #62
+0.51 #38Points per drive−0.17 #75
−0.57 #32Points per drive allowed−0.23 #44
Trenches
−0.13 #114Line yards per rush−0.02 #94
−0.17 #41Line yards per rush allowed−0.18 #40
−3.6% #39Runs stuffed at the line+0.3% #107
+4.2% #21Opponent runs stuffed+5.6% #12
−1.9% #55Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.2% #73
+1.0% #35Havoc created+2.0% #24
Big plays
−0.103 #118Rushing explosiveness−0.109 #122
+0.168 #50Passing explosiveness−0.011 #114
−0.45 #111Open-field yards per rush−0.11 #74
−0.301 #2Pass explosiveness allowed+0.049 #87
Style and schedule
53% #100Run rate49% #127
−1.4 #35Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−4.4 #61

Penn State: last 5 games

L18-21
atMichigan
Covered
L23-31
vsUSC
Missed
L13-34
atNorthwestern
Missed
L20-24
vsWisconsin
Missed
W55-13
vsBuffalo
Covered

Washington: last 5 games

W38-26
atPurdue
Covered
L24-41
vsIowa
Missed
L21-25
atUSC
Covered
L24-27
vsMinnesota
Missed
W48-16
vsEastern Washington
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.02+0.04+0.10+0.16+0.23Entering week12345678910Penn State · 1: +0.09Penn State · 2: +0.17Penn State · 3: +0.15Penn State · 4: +0.21Penn State · 5: +0.11Penn State · 6: +0.12Penn State · 7: +0.06Penn State · 8: +0.05Penn State · 9: +0.06Penn State · 10: +0.06Washington · 1: +0.13Washington · 2: +0.10Washington · 3: +0.05Washington · 4: +0.06Washington · 5: +0.04Washington · 6: +0.03Washington · 7: +0.00Washington · 8: +0.06Washington · 9: +0.06Washington · 10: +0.06
● Penn State● Washington