College football scores › Week 10 › Maryland at Purdue
BEAVERBEAVER gives PUR 69% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Maryland–––
Purdue–––
Maryland–––Purdue–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (MD–PUR) | 26–34 | – | |
| Spread | PUR −8.2 | No line | |
| Total | 60.4 | – | |
| PUR win chance | 69% | – |
MD by 14+
9%
MD by 1–13
22%
PUR by 1–13
33%
PUR by 14+
36%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.076 #94Offense EPA / play+0.100 #27
+0.012 #61Defense EPA / play allowed+0.110 #105
−2.9% #92Offense success rate+3.0% #39
+1.2% #79Defense success rate allowed+3.0% #92
+0.056 #53Rushing EPA / play+0.055 #54
−0.184 #115Passing EPA / play+0.159 #18
+0.036 #78Rush defense EPA allowed+0.059 #87
−0.012 #45Pass defense EPA allowed+0.215 #121
−0.7 #71Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+4.2 #37
+5.6 #103Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+3.6 #85
Situational
−2.3% #72Passing-down success (3rd & long)+2.3% #33
+2.4% #94Passing-down success allowed+6.6% #125
+0.01 #67Points per drive+0.41 #46
+0.62 #99Points per drive allowed+0.75 #108
Trenches
−0.08 #102Line yards per rush−0.05 #98
−0.19 #39Line yards per rush allowed+0.13 #91
+0.8% #109Runs stuffed at the line−3.6% #40
+0.2% #69Opponent runs stuffed−1.2% #85
−3.3% #29Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−3.0% #35
−1.2% #85Havoc created−0.4% #64
Big plays
+0.232 #6Rushing explosiveness+0.104 #29
−0.024 #118Passing explosiveness+0.104 #72
+0.14 #33Open-field yards per rush−0.08 #63
−0.068 #32Pass explosiveness allowed+0.213 #132
Style and schedule
46% #133Run rate54% #91
−2.3 #43Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+4.1 #9
Maryland: last 5 games
| L30-37 | Missed | |
| L16-45 | Covered | |
| L23-48 | Missed | |
| L3-54 | Missed | |
| L26-35 | Missed |
Purdue: last 5 games
| L26-38 | Missed | |
| W41-13 | Covered | |
| W24-17 | Covered | |
| L10-49 | Missed | |
| L38-52 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekMDPUR
Loading the thread…
The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyMaryland–––Purdue–––
Maryland–––Purdue–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | PUR −8.2 | 60.4 | MD +226 · PUR −226 |
Loading…
Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| MD | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 0-4 | Conference | 2-2 |
| 1-3 | Home | 2-3 |
| 1-2 | Away | 1-1 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 3-4 |
| 6-1 | Over/under | 6-1 |
| 28.3 / 33.3 | Points for / against | 31.3 / 32.3 |
| -5.0 | Avg margin | -1.0 |
| -6.5 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.4 |
| 56.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 62.0 |