College football scores › Week 10 › Iowa at Northwestern
BEAVERBEAVER gives NU 56% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Iowa–––
Northwestern–––
Iowa–––Northwestern–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (IOWA–NU) | 22–24 | – | |
| Spread | NU −2.3 | No line | |
| Total | 46.7 | – | |
| NU win chance | 56% | – |
IOWA by 14+
15%
IOWA by 1–13
29%
NU by 1–13
33%
NU by 14+
23%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.043 #43Offense EPA / play+0.179 #11
−0.064 #31Defense EPA / play allowed−0.027 #43
+2.5% #41Offense success rate+7.5% #12
−6.4% #10Defense success rate allowed+1.2% #81
+0.062 #49Rushing EPA / play+0.173 #14
+0.150 #21Passing EPA / play+0.156 #19
−0.150 #12Rush defense EPA allowed+0.051 #86
+0.095 #88Pass defense EPA allowed−0.137 #17
+1.8 #52Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+5.2 #30
−9.1 #10Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−6.4 #25
Situational
−5.9% #109Passing-down success (3rd & long)+7.2% #12
−5.9% #11Passing-down success allowed−2.6% #40
+0.57 #31Points per drive+0.46 #42
−1.02 #11Points per drive allowed−0.69 #25
Trenches
+0.28 #37Line yards per rush+0.28 #36
−0.32 #22Line yards per rush allowed+0.27 #110
−4.1% #35Runs stuffed at the line−3.6% #41
+2.6% #37Opponent runs stuffed−1.7% #95
−4.1% #19Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.3% #71
+0.6% #42Havoc created+0.5% #44
Big plays
+0.070 #42Rushing explosiveness+0.090 #36
−0.017 #116Passing explosiveness+0.095 #80
+0.14 #34Open-field yards per rush+0.42 #12
+0.107 #115Pass explosiveness allowed−0.173 #10
Style and schedule
55% #75Run rate60% #33
−2.2 #42Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−2.1 #41
Iowa: last 5 games
| L10-13 | Missed | |
| W41-24 | Covered | |
| L14-31 | Missed | |
| W20-19 | Covered | |
| W55-0 | Covered |
Northwestern: last 5 games
| W42-14 | Covered | |
| W24-21 | Missed | |
| W45-14 | Missed | |
| W34-13 | Covered | |
| L23-29 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekIOWANU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyIowa–––Northwestern–––
Iowa–––Northwestern–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | NU −2.3 | 46.7 | IOWA +126 · NU −126 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| IOWA | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 6-1 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 3-1 |
| 3-1 | Home | 5-0 |
| 2-1 | Away | 1-1 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread | 5-2 |
| 2-5 | Over/under | 5-2 |
| 28.0 / 14.3 | Points for / against | 34.7 / 16.6 |
| +13.7 | Avg margin | +18.1 |
| +3.9 | Avg vs. the spread | +10.8 |
| 53.0 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 60.1 |