College football scores › Week 10 › Nebraska at Illinois
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), 41°, wind 7 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives NEB 58% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Nebraska–––
Illinois–––
Nebraska–––Illinois–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (NEB–ILL) | 30–27 | – | |
| Spread | NEB −3.3 | No line | |
| Total | 56.7 | – | |
| ILL win chance | 42% | – |
NEB by 14+
25%
NEB by 1–13
33%
ILL by 1–13
28%
ILL by 14+
14%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.129 #20Offense EPA / play+0.103 #25
−0.088 #20Defense EPA / play allowed+0.162 #122
+3.5% #33Offense success rate+6.0% #18
−5.8% #13Defense success rate allowed+3.5% #95
+0.209 #7Rushing EPA / play+0.144 #26
+0.072 #39Passing EPA / play+0.100 #31
−0.001 #63Rush defense EPA allowed+0.101 #103
−0.191 #12Pass defense EPA allowed+0.202 #118
+6.7 #20Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+3.8 #38
−7.2 #22Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−1.3 #53
Situational
+6.9% #13Passing-down success (3rd & long)+4.1% #23
−9.0% #3Passing-down success allowed+7.6% #129
+0.81 #23Points per drive+0.61 #29
−0.83 #18Points per drive allowed+0.09 #67
Trenches
+0.27 #41Line yards per rush+0.47 #15
−0.12 #51Line yards per rush allowed−0.02 #63
−2.0% #69Runs stuffed at the line−7.9% #2
+1.7% #52Opponent runs stuffed−1.0% #82
−2.6% #42Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−5.1% #10
+3.3% #13Havoc created−2.7% #117
Big plays
+0.297 #2Rushing explosiveness+0.071 #40
+0.136 #60Passing explosiveness+0.030 #101
+0.44 #11Open-field yards per rush+0.26 #27
−0.004 #62Pass explosiveness allowed−0.108 #22
Style and schedule
55% #68Run rate53% #94
−1.8 #39Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+1.4 #22
Nebraska: last 5 games
| L14-17 | Covered | |
| L17-20 | Covered | |
| W48-23 | Covered | |
| W31-13 | Covered | |
| W34-7 | Missed |
Illinois: last 5 games
| W21-10 | Covered | |
| W38-37 | Missed | |
| L17-24 | Missed | |
| L19-42 | Covered | |
| W48-10 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekNEBILL
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyNebraska–––Illinois–––
Nebraska–––Illinois–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | NEB −3.3 | 56.7 | NEB −139 · ILL +139 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| NEB | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 2-2 |
| 4-1 | Home | 3-2 |
| 1-1 | Away | 1-1 |
| 6-1 | Against the spread | 3-4 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 5-2 |
| 35.6 / 15.4 | Points for / against | 30.3 / 25.3 |
| +20.1 | Avg margin | +5.0 |
| +7.7 | Avg vs. the spread | -1.0 |
| 66.4 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 60.6 |