College football scores › Week 9 › Minnesota at Indiana
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), 67°, wind 9 mph
BEAVEROver 42.5, leanleanBEAVER gives IU 91% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Minnesota
Indiana
MinnesotaIndianaBEAVER’s card
LeanOver 42.5, lean2.8 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (MINN–IU) | 12–33 | – | |
| Spread | IU −20.5 | IU −20.5 | |
| Total | 45.3 | 42.5 | Over 42.5 |
| IU win chance | 91% | −1450 |
MINN by 14+
1%
MINN by 1–13
8%
IU by 1–13
24%
IU by 14+
66%
Total: 2.8 pts above Vegas (51% historically). Opened IU −22.5.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.089 #102Offense EPA / play+0.187 #6
−0.074 #28Defense EPA / play allowed−0.175 #10
−2.5% #88Offense success rate+4.3% #27
−1.3% #44Defense success rate allowed−8.4% #6
−0.145 #131Rushing EPA / play+0.069 #46
−0.060 #80Passing EPA / play+0.329 #2
+0.025 #74Rush defense EPA allowed−0.190 #5
−0.078 #32Pass defense EPA allowed−0.159 #15
−2.4 #76Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+6.4 #24
−2.5 #43Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−13.6 #1
Situational
−10.1% #130Passing-down success (3rd & long)+0.9% #48
+2.9% #102Passing-down success allowed−3.7% #25
+0.29 #53Points per drive+1.24 #11
−0.11 #53Points per drive allowed−1.30 #4
Trenches
−0.68 #137Line yards per rush+0.23 #44
+0.01 #69Line yards per rush allowed−0.70 #6
+4.4% #133Runs stuffed at the line−3.5% #44
+2.0% #46Opponent runs stuffed+3.8% #25
−0.7% #88Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−4.7% #13
+4.3% #8Havoc created+3.6% #10
Big plays
−0.177 #131Rushing explosiveness−0.037 #90
+0.021 #105Passing explosiveness+0.324 #7
−0.58 #124Open-field yards per rush+0.40 #15
−0.026 #49Pass explosiveness allowed−0.022 #53
Style and schedule
48% #128Run rate61% #26
−5.3 #69Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−0.7 #32
Minnesota: last 5 games
| W13-10 | Covered | |
| L13-41 | Missed | |
| W20-14 | Covered | |
| W27-24 | Covered | |
| W41-7 | Covered |
Indiana: last 5 games
| W13-6 | Missed | |
| L15-19 | Missed | |
| W20-17 | Missed | |
| W47-15 | Covered | |
| W29-23 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekMINNIU
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Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyMinnesotaIndiana
MinnesotaIndianaLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | IU −20.5 | 42.5 | MINN +850 · IU −1450 |
| BEAVER fair line | IU −20.5 | 45.3 | MINN +964 · IU −964 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| MINN | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 7-1 |
| 3-1 | Conference | 4-1 |
| 4-1 | Home | 4-1 |
| 1-1 | Away | 3-0 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread | 1-7 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 3-5 |
| 26.6 / 20.1 | Points for / against | 33.6 / 12.0 |
| +6.4 | Avg margin | +21.6 |
| +0.8 | Avg vs. the spread | -3.4 |
| 54.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 53.0 |