College football scores › Week 10 › North Carolina at UConn
Pratt & Whitney Stadium, 47°, wind 12 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives UNC 65% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
North Carolina–––
UConn–––
North Carolina–––UConn–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (UNC–CONN) | 30–24 | – | |
| Spread | UNC −6.1 | No line | |
| Total | 53.4 | – | |
| CONN win chance | 35% | – |
UNC by 14+
31%
UNC by 1–13
34%
CONN by 1–13
25%
CONN by 14+
10%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.044 #41Offense EPA / play+0.008 #64
−0.039 #40Defense EPA / play allowed+0.074 #87
+5.0% #22Offense success rate−2.5% #89
+1.1% #77Defense success rate allowed+3.9% #101
+0.071 #45Rushing EPA / play+0.078 #41
+0.067 #40Passing EPA / play−0.000 #62
−0.006 #59Rush defense EPA allowed−0.014 #55
−0.042 #38Pass defense EPA allowed+0.196 #116
−0.4 #66Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−0.6 #68
−4.6 #33Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+4.4 #93
Situational
−0.1% #50Passing-down success (3rd & long)−2.6% #74
−5.5% #13Passing-down success allowed+2.9% #103
+0.04 #65Points per drive−0.20 #77
−0.66 #27Points per drive allowed+0.43 #91
Trenches
+0.37 #27Line yards per rush+0.22 #47
+0.09 #79Line yards per rush allowed+0.16 #94
−5.4% #18Runs stuffed at the line−1.1% #81
−6.7% #136Opponent runs stuffed−1.7% #93
−3.2% #30Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.9% #80
−2.2% #107Havoc created−0.6% #69
Big plays
−0.056 #100Rushing explosiveness+0.106 #28
+0.041 #98Passing explosiveness+0.338 #5
−0.30 #92Open-field yards per rush+0.41 #14
−0.136 #14Pass explosiveness allowed−0.034 #41
Style and schedule
54% #88Run rate57% #51
+2.6 #15Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−15.2 #128
North Carolina: last 5 games
| L30-31 | Missed | |
| W24-20 | Covered | |
| W21-17 | Covered | |
| L26-37 | Covered | |
| L20-28 | Missed |
UConn: last 5 games
| W35-16 | Covered | |
| W34-20 | Covered | |
| L41-42 | Covered | |
| L21-24 | Missed | |
| W48-20 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekUNCCONN
Loading the thread…
The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyNorth Carolina–––UConn–––
North Carolina–––UConn–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | UNC −6.1 | 53.4 | UNC −184 · CONN +184 |
Loading…
Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| UNC | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 0-0 |
| 1-2 | Home | 2-2 |
| 2-1 | Away | 2-1 |
| 4-3 | Against the spread | 5-2 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 24.4 / 20.9 | Points for / against | 35.6 / 23.9 |
| +3.6 | Avg margin | +11.7 |
| +2.7 | Avg vs. the spread | +9.8 |
| 57.6 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 60.1 |