BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Merrimack at Wake Forest
Merrimack0-1away
BEAVER projects0
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, 56°, wind 5 mph
Wake ForestNo. 146-1home
BEAVER projects54
BEAVERBEAVER gives WAKE 100% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Merrimack–––
Wake Forest–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (MRMK–WAKE)0–54–
SpreadWAKE −53.5No line
Total54.2–
WAKE win chance100%–
MRMK by 14+
0%
MRMK by 1–13
0%
WAKE by 1–13
1%
WAKE by 14+
99%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
−0.365Offense EPA / play+0.145 #18
+0.250Defense EPA / play allowed−0.097 #18
−12.6%Offense success rate+4.8% #23
+8.2%Defense success rate allowed−3.1% #29
−0.255Rushing EPA / play+0.176 #13
−0.362Passing EPA / play+0.150 #22
+0.177Rush defense EPA allowed−0.092 #24
+0.262Pass defense EPA allowed−0.120 #20
−25.0Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+5.9 #28
+17.6Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−7.7 #15
Situational
−10.6%Passing-down success (3rd & long)+7.8% #9
+3.0%Passing-down success allowed−2.7% #37
−3.29Points per drive+1.24 #10
+2.19Points per drive allowed−0.82 #19
Trenches
−0.47Line yards per rush+0.25 #42
+0.35Line yards per rush allowed−0.40 #14
+3.1%Runs stuffed at the line−2.6% #57
−0.8%Opponent runs stuffed+9.5% #3
+3.6%Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−4.5% #15
−5.8%Havoc created−0.1% #60
Big plays
−0.033Rushing explosiveness+0.030 #60
+0.001Passing explosiveness+0.172 #46
−0.57Open-field yards per rush−0.07 #60
+0.052Pass explosiveness allowed−0.309 #1
Style and schedule
59%Run rate55% #78
−14.3Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−1.7 #38

Merrimack: last 1 games

L7-42
atDelaware
Missed

Wake Forest: last 5 games

W41-7
atCalifornia
Covered
W38-14
atNC State
Covered
W57-3
vsStanford
Covered
W30-27
atLouisville
Covered
L20-33
vsMiami
Covered

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.78−0.51−0.23+0.04+0.32Entering week12345678910Merrimack · 1: −0.63Merrimack · 2: −0.71Merrimack · 3: −0.60Merrimack · 4: −0.59Merrimack · 5: −0.60Merrimack · 6: −0.60Merrimack · 7: −0.61Merrimack · 8: −0.61Merrimack · 9: −0.61Merrimack · 10: −0.61Wake Forest · 1: +0.05Wake Forest · 2: +0.12Wake Forest · 3: +0.12Wake Forest · 4: +0.11Wake Forest · 5: +0.14Wake Forest · 6: +0.17Wake Forest · 7: +0.19Wake Forest · 8: +0.24Wake Forest · 9: +0.24Wake Forest · 10: +0.24
● Merrimack● Wake Forest