BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Virginia Tech at SMU
Virginia Tech6-2away
BEAVER projects24
Gerald J. Ford Stadium, 62°, wind 5 mph
SMUNo. 196-1home
BEAVER projects34
BEAVERBEAVER gives SMU 74% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Virginia Tech–––
SMU–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (VT–SMU)24–34–
SpreadSMU −10.3No line
Total58.4–
SMU win chance74%–
VT by 14+
7%
VT by 1–13
20%
SMU by 1–13
33%
SMU by 14+
41%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.064 #35Offense EPA / play+0.070 #32
+0.056 #79Defense EPA / play allowed−0.003 #52
+2.5% #42Offense success rate+5.4% #19
−0.1% #61Defense success rate allowed−2.5% #36
−0.001 #89Rushing EPA / play+0.002 #87
+0.132 #26Passing EPA / play+0.167 #17
−0.012 #56Rush defense EPA allowed−0.001 #62
+0.108 #95Pass defense EPA allowed−0.019 #42
+2.5 #47Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+4.5 #34
+1.0 #71Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−2.3 #44
Situational
+3.3% #27Passing-down success (3rd & long)+6.1% #16
−2.6% #38Passing-down success allowed−4.6% #18
+0.51 #36Points per drive+0.59 #30
+0.02 #63Points per drive allowed−0.10 #54
Trenches
−0.13 #112Line yards per rush−0.10 #109
−0.91 #3Line yards per rush allowed−0.29 #28
+3.0% #129Runs stuffed at the line+2.4% #126
+6.5% #6Opponent runs stuffed+1.9% #47
−2.0% #53Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−2.7% #39
+4.4% #6Havoc created+2.3% #23
Big plays
+0.048 #50Rushing explosiveness−0.061 #103
+0.100 #76Passing explosiveness+0.171 #48
+0.03 #47Open-field yards per rush−0.20 #81
−0.127 #17Pass explosiveness allowed+0.119 #119
Style and schedule
52% #111Run rate53% #104
−12.4 #110Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−6.5 #74

Virginia Tech: last 5 games

W20-16
atClemson
Covered
W34-24
vsGeorgia Tech
Covered
L20-25
atCalifornia
Missed
L33-35
vsPittsburgh
Missed
W21-14
atBoston College
Missed

SMU: last 5 games

W59-20
vsCalifornia
Covered
W23-13
vsVirginia
Push
W25-16
vsBoston College
Missed
W34-24
vsMissouri State
Missed
L31-41
atLouisville
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.04+0.05+0.14+0.24+0.33Entering week12345678910Virginia Tech · 1: −0.01Virginia Tech · 2: +0.11Virginia Tech · 3: +0.08Virginia Tech · 4: +0.12Virginia Tech · 5: +0.01Virginia Tech · 6: +0.03Virginia Tech · 7: +0.03Virginia Tech · 8: −0.01Virginia Tech · 9: +0.01Virginia Tech · 10: +0.01SMU · 1: +0.11SMU · 2: +0.18SMU · 3: +0.30SMU · 4: +0.20SMU · 5: +0.13SMU · 6: +0.07SMU · 7: +0.06SMU · 8: +0.06SMU · 9: +0.07SMU · 10: +0.07
● Virginia Tech● SMU