BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Louisville at Georgia Tech
Louisville4-3away
BEAVER projects39
Bobby Dodd Stadium, 60°, wind 7 mph
Georgia Tech2-5home
BEAVER projects27
BEAVERBEAVER gives LOU 78% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Louisville–––
Georgia Tech–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (LOU–GT)39–27–
SpreadLOU −12.6No line
Total65.8–
GT win chance22%–
LOU by 14+
47%
LOU by 1–13
31%
GT by 1–13
17%
GT by 14+
5%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.148 #17Offense EPA / play+0.055 #39
−0.052 #34Defense EPA / play allowed+0.147 #118
+5.3% #21Offense success rate+3.5% #30
−2.4% #37Defense success rate allowed+3.6% #99
+0.148 #24Rushing EPA / play+0.087 #38
+0.173 #15Passing EPA / play+0.033 #48
−0.070 #32Rush defense EPA allowed+0.122 #111
+0.031 #62Pass defense EPA allowed+0.180 #111
+8.9 #10Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−0.6 #69
−1.2 #54Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+5.1 #99
Situational
−0.3% #53Passing-down success (3rd & long)−1.5% #63
−4.2% #22Passing-down success allowed+7.7% #130
+0.47 #40Points per drive−0.06 #70
−0.53 #34Points per drive allowed+0.38 #87
Trenches
−0.02 #93Line yards per rush+0.21 #49
+0.12 #87Line yards per rush allowed+0.28 #115
+0.5% #108Runs stuffed at the line−2.3% #61
−5.7% #133Opponent runs stuffed−3.4% #115
+0.7% #115Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.7% #59
+0.4% #47Havoc created−1.8% #100
Big plays
+0.253 #5Rushing explosiveness+0.013 #69
+0.184 #39Passing explosiveness+0.103 #74
+1.43 #1Open-field yards per rush+0.31 #20
+0.148 #130Pass explosiveness allowed+0.318 #138
Style and schedule
58% #41Run rate51% #117
+1.2 #24Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−3.6 #52

Louisville: last 5 games

W34-26
atSyracuse
Missed
W44-20
vsFlorida State
Covered
L28-31
atNC State
Missed
L27-30
vsWake Forest
Missed
W41-31
vsSMU
Covered

Georgia Tech: last 5 games

L27-49
vsBoston College
Missed
L24-34
atVirginia Tech
Missed
W28-25
vsDuke
Covered
L27-34
atStanford
Missed
W44-11
vsMercer
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.12−0.03+0.07+0.16+0.25Entering week12345678910Louisville · 1: +0.10Louisville · 2: +0.14Louisville · 3: +0.11Louisville · 4: +0.22Louisville · 5: +0.16Louisville · 6: +0.12Louisville · 7: +0.16Louisville · 8: +0.20Louisville · 9: +0.20Louisville · 10: +0.20Georgia Tech · 1: +0.06Georgia Tech · 2: +0.02Georgia Tech · 3: −0.01Georgia Tech · 4: −0.05Georgia Tech · 5: −0.05Georgia Tech · 6: −0.06Georgia Tech · 7: −0.06Georgia Tech · 8: −0.02Georgia Tech · 9: −0.09Georgia Tech · 10: −0.09
● Louisville● Georgia Tech