College football scores › Week 10 › Duke at NC State
BEAVERBEAVER gives DUKE 53% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Duke–––
NC State–––
Duke–––NC State–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (DUKE–NCSU) | 28–26 | – | |
| Spread | DUKE −1.2 | No line | |
| Total | 53.9 | – | |
| NCSU win chance | 47% | – |
DUKE by 14+
21%
DUKE by 1–13
32%
NCSU by 1–13
30%
NCSU by 14+
17%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.018 #54Offense EPA / play+0.075 #30
−0.027 #42Defense EPA / play allowed+0.103 #102
−1.8% #85Offense success rate+2.4% #44
−1.2% #45Defense success rate allowed+2.2% #85
+0.007 #83Rushing EPA / play−0.044 #107
+0.009 #56Passing EPA / play+0.188 #13
−0.114 #19Rush defense EPA allowed−0.017 #51
+0.051 #70Pass defense EPA allowed+0.222 #122
+0.5 #63Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+3.2 #42
−4.0 #35Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+3.5 #84
Situational
−1.8% #66Passing-down success (3rd & long)+6.1% #15
−4.4% #20Passing-down success allowed+1.7% #90
+0.18 #58Points per drive+0.70 #28
−0.31 #41Points per drive allowed+0.43 #90
Trenches
+0.01 #84Line yards per rush−0.10 #108
−0.27 #33Line yards per rush allowed−0.12 #49
+0.2% #104Runs stuffed at the line+0.9% #111
+2.9% #33Opponent runs stuffed+2.9% #30
−3.5% #25Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.8% #56
+0.1% #54Havoc created−1.3% #88
Big plays
+0.131 #16Rushing explosiveness−0.105 #120
+0.090 #83Passing explosiveness+0.136 #59
−0.09 #66Open-field yards per rush−0.11 #76
−0.080 #30Pass explosiveness allowed+0.089 #102
Style and schedule
54% #92Run rate55% #74
−8.4 #85Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−5.4 #70
Duke: last 5 games
| W19-16 | Covered | |
| L20-24 | Missed | |
| L25-28 | Missed | |
| W62-7 | Covered | |
| W35-7 | Covered |
NC State: last 5 games
| L28-31 | Missed | |
| L14-38 | Missed | |
| W31-28 | Covered | |
| W41-31 | Missed | |
| L31-35 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekDUKENCSU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyDuke–––NC State–––
Duke–––NC State–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | DUKE −1.2 | 53.9 | DUKE −113 · NCSU +113 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| DUKE | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 3-4 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 1-3 |
| 3-1 | Home | 3-1 |
| 2-1 | Away | 0-3 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread | 2-5 |
| 3-4 | Over/under | 5-2 |
| 29.9 / 16.0 | Points for / against | 32.3 / 28.1 |
| +13.9 | Avg margin | +4.1 |
| +5.1 | Avg vs. the spread | -1.1 |
| 63.1 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 60.6 |