College football scores › Week 9 › Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh
Acrisure Stadium, 56°, wind 7 mph
BEAVERPITT −7.5, best betbest betOver 54.5, leanleanBEAVER gives PITT 75% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh
Georgia TechPittsburghBEAVER’s card
Best betPITT −7.5, best bet3.6 points off the line
- Over 54.5 lean, 2.1 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (GT–PITT) | 23–34 | – | |
| Spread | PITT −11.1 | PITT −7.5 | PITT −7.5 |
| Total | 56.6 | 54.5 | Over 54.5 |
| PITT win chance | 75% | −305 |
GT by 14+
6%
GT by 1–13
19%
PITT by 1–13
33%
PITT by 14+
43%
Spread: 3.6 pts better than Vegas for Pittsburgh (sides with a gap this size have won 54% in the backtest). Total: 2.1 pts above Vegas (51% historically). Opened PITT −7.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.055 #39Offense EPA / play+0.035 #45
+0.147 #118Defense EPA / play allowed−0.046 #36
+3.5% #30Offense success rate+0.5% #66
+3.6% #99Defense success rate allowed−5.8% #14
+0.087 #38Rushing EPA / play+0.071 #44
+0.033 #48Passing EPA / play+0.015 #53
+0.122 #111Rush defense EPA allowed−0.172 #10
+0.180 #111Pass defense EPA allowed+0.065 #76
−0.6 #69Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+2.8 #44
+5.1 #99Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−2.6 #42
Situational
−1.5% #63Passing-down success (3rd & long)−0.7% #58
+7.7% #130Passing-down success allowed−2.3% #41
−0.06 #70Points per drive+0.81 #24
+0.38 #87Points per drive allowed−0.29 #42
Trenches
+0.21 #49Line yards per rush+0.48 #12
+0.28 #115Line yards per rush allowed−0.90 #4
−2.3% #61Runs stuffed at the line−4.7% #26
−3.4% #115Opponent runs stuffed+5.7% #11
−1.7% #59Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−3.3% #28
−1.8% #100Havoc created+1.6% #28
Big plays
+0.013 #69Rushing explosiveness−0.052 #96
+0.103 #74Passing explosiveness+0.235 #25
+0.31 #20Open-field yards per rush−0.19 #79
+0.318 #138Pass explosiveness allowed+0.196 #131
Style and schedule
51% #117Run rate54% #80
−3.6 #52Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−4.2 #58
Georgia Tech: last 5 games
| L27-49 | Missed | |
| L24-34 | Missed | |
| W28-25 | Covered | |
| L27-34 | Missed | |
| W44-11 | Missed |
Pittsburgh: last 5 games
| L23-52 | Missed | |
| L21-27 | Missed | |
| L17-21 | Missed | |
| W35-33 | Covered | |
| W59-0 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekGTPITT
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Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyGeorgia TechPittsburgh
Georgia TechPittsburghLines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | PITT −7.5 | 54.5 | GT +245 · PITT −305 |
| BEAVER fair line | PITT −11.1 | 56.6 | GT +307 · PITT −307 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| GT | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 5-3 |
| 1-3 | Conference | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | Home | 4-1 |
| 0-2 | Away | 1-2 |
| 1-6 | Against the spread | 4-4 |
| 5-2 | Over/under | 4-4 |
| 26.7 / 30.3 | Points for / against | 31.6 / 20.9 |
| -3.6 | Avg margin | +10.8 |
| -7.7 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.1 |
| 59.7 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 58.2 |