BEAVER
College football scores › Week 7 › CHSO at Clemson
CHSO0-2away
0
FinalMemorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), 64°, wind 17 mph
Clemson4-3home
37
BEAVER CHSO +43.5, wonBEAVER Under 57.5, wonBEAVER had CLEM 99% to win

BEAVER against the market

Locked at kickoff, graded on the closing line
BEAVERMarketResultCall
Score (CHSO–CLEM)2–41–0–37
SpreadCLEM −39.2CLEM −43.5CLEM by 37CHSO +43.5 ✓
Total43.457.537Under 57.5 ✓
CLEM win chance99%–Won
CHSO by 14+
0%
CHSO by 1–13
1%
CLEM by 1–13
5%
CLEM by 14+
95%

Spread: 4.3 pts better than Vegas for CHSO (sides with a gap this size have won 54% in the backtest). Total: 14.1 pts below Vegas (51% historically).

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
−0.360Offense EPA / play−0.076 #97
+0.192Defense EPA / play allowed−0.119 #15
−13.5%Offense success rate−3.0% #98
+5.4%Defense success rate allowed−4.1% #24
−0.251Rushing EPA / play−0.020 #90
−0.478Passing EPA / play−0.080 #91
+0.115Rush defense EPA allowed+0.080 #100
+0.224Pass defense EPA allowed−0.285 #2
−18.7Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−1.4 #75
+10.1Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−4.6 #28
Situational
−12.9%Passing-down success (3rd & long)−1.2% #62
+6.3%Passing-down success allowed+0.4% #75
−2.66Points per drive−0.26 #79
+1.45Points per drive allowed−0.60 #28
Trenches
−0.81Line yards per rush−0.13 #107
+0.53Line yards per rush allowed+0.31 #115
+8.3%Runs stuffed at the line+2.2% #122
−6.7%Opponent runs stuffed−3.1% #115
+8.4%Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)+0.2% #104
−3.9%Havoc created+1.2% #32
Big plays
−0.095Rushing explosiveness−0.013 #84
−0.049Passing explosiveness−0.004 #110
−0.13Open-field yards per rush+0.05 #48
+0.343Pass explosiveness allowed+0.022 #67
Style and schedule
56%Run rate52% #107
−5.6Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+7.5 #5

CHSO: last 1 games

L0-31
atGeorgia Southern
Missed

Clemson: last 5 games

L13-41
vsMiami
Missed
W24-10
atCalifornia
Covered
W28-20
vsNorth Carolina
Covered
W22-7
vsGeorgia Southern
Missed
L10-51
atLSU
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.71−0.47−0.24−0.01+0.22Entering week1234567Charleston Southern · 1: −0.58Charleston Southern · 2: −0.58Charleston Southern · 3: −0.64Charleston Southern · 4: −0.54Charleston Southern · 5: −0.59Charleston Southern · 6: −0.56Charleston Southern · 7: −0.55Clemson · 1: +0.15Clemson · 2: +0.00Clemson · 3: −0.07Clemson · 4: −0.02Clemson · 5: +0.04Clemson · 6: +0.02Clemson · 7: +0.04
● Charleston Southern● Clemson