BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › TCU at Arizona
TCU3-4away
BEAVER projects17
Arizona Stadium, 72°, wind 4 mph
ArizonaNo. 226-1home
BEAVER projects26
BEAVERBEAVER gives ARIZ 72% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
TCU–––
Arizona–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (TCU–ARIZ)17–26–
SpreadARIZ −9.0No line
Total43.6–
ARIZ win chance72%–
TCU by 14+
7%
TCU by 1–13
21%
ARIZ by 1–13
35%
ARIZ by 14+
37%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
−0.051 #86Offense EPA / play+0.068 #33
−0.139 #14Defense EPA / play allowed−0.112 #17
−1.3% #81Offense success rate+3.7% #28
−6.0% #12Defense success rate allowed−4.7% #21
−0.111 #127Rushing EPA / play+0.049 #61
−0.004 #63Passing EPA / play+0.169 #16
−0.191 #4Rush defense EPA allowed−0.092 #23
−0.123 #19Pass defense EPA allowed−0.152 #16
−4.8 #95Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+4.4 #35
−10.0 #8Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−6.8 #24
Situational
−6.8% #116Passing-down success (3rd & long)+6.7% #14
−5.5% #12Passing-down success allowed+0.9% #76
−0.51 #91Points per drive+0.54 #34
−0.87 #16Points per drive allowed−0.51 #35
Trenches
−0.25 #122Line yards per rush+0.19 #51
−0.21 #37Line yards per rush allowed−0.28 #32
+1.0% #112Runs stuffed at the line−2.2% #63
+0.3% #67Opponent runs stuffed+2.8% #36
−0.3% #100Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.5% #66
+0.8% #38Havoc created+1.2% #33
Big plays
−0.140 #124Rushing explosiveness−0.034 #89
+0.209 #30Passing explosiveness+0.136 #61
−0.38 #101Open-field yards per rush−0.32 #95
−0.121 #18Pass explosiveness allowed+0.100 #109
Style and schedule
51% #121Run rate51% #122
−3.6 #54Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−5.8 #71

TCU: last 5 games

L20-24
vsWest Virginia
Missed
W17-6
atBaylor
Covered
L10-17
vsBYU
Missed
L13-21
atUCF
Missed
W31-7
vsArkansas State
Covered

Arizona: last 5 games

W39-3
vsIowa State
Covered
W52-31
atWest Virginia
Covered
W34-7
vsCincinnati
Covered
W34-24
atWashington State
Missed
W42-17
vsNorthern Illinois
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.01+0.04+0.09+0.14+0.19Entering week12345678910TCU · 1: +0.09TCU · 2: +0.03TCU · 3: +0.04TCU · 4: +0.04TCU · 5: +0.04TCU · 6: +0.08TCU · 7: +0.09TCU · 8: +0.13TCU · 9: +0.09TCU · 10: +0.09Arizona · 1: +0.06Arizona · 2: +0.02Arizona · 3: +0.01Arizona · 4: +0.07Arizona · 5: +0.08Arizona · 6: +0.11Arizona · 7: +0.16Arizona · 8: +0.16Arizona · 9: +0.18Arizona · 10: +0.18
● TCU● Arizona