BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Cincinnati at Houston
Cincinnati5-2away
BEAVER projects24
TDECU Stadium, 64°, wind 6 mph
HoustonNo. 186-2home
BEAVER projects37
BEAVERBEAVER gives HOU 78% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Cincinnati–––
Houston–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (CIN–HOU)24–37–
SpreadHOU −12.6No line
Total60.6–
HOU win chance78%–
CIN by 14+
5%
CIN by 1–13
17%
HOU by 1–13
32%
HOU by 14+
46%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.132 #19Offense EPA / play+0.165 #14
+0.091 #93Defense EPA / play allowed+0.022 #70
+3.3% #36Offense success rate+9.9% #5
+3.1% #94Defense success rate allowed−0.1% #59
+0.173 #16Rushing EPA / play+0.081 #40
+0.090 #33Passing EPA / play+0.291 #4
+0.063 #88Rush defense EPA allowed−0.024 #46
+0.167 #105Pass defense EPA allowed+0.044 #67
+4.2 #36Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+6.5 #23
+0.6 #67Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−5.1 #30
Situational
+1.7% #36Passing-down success (3rd & long)+11.4% #2
+1.6% #88Passing-down success allowed−1.5% #50
+0.38 #48Points per drive+1.13 #12
+0.21 #74Points per drive allowed−0.46 #37
Trenches
+0.48 #11Line yards per rush+0.45 #16
+0.28 #114Line yards per rush allowed−0.20 #38
−4.5% #27Runs stuffed at the line−4.9% #22
−2.3% #100Opponent runs stuffed+1.3% #57
−5.0% #11Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−6.3% #6
+0.3% #50Havoc created+3.1% #16
Big plays
+0.217 #7Rushing explosiveness−0.200 #134
+0.072 #89Passing explosiveness+0.160 #52
+0.54 #10Open-field yards per rush−0.29 #90
−0.103 #24Pass explosiveness allowed+0.025 #76
Style and schedule
61% #19Run rate61% #22
−3.0 #47Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−1.2 #34

Cincinnati: last 5 games

W37-24
vsTexas Tech
Covered
L42-45
atWest Virginia
Missed
L7-34
atArizona
Missed
W31-26
vsKansas State
Covered
W35-31
vsMiami (OH)
Missed

Houston: last 5 games

L13-21
atUtah
Missed
W35-32
vsOklahoma State
Missed
W35-16
atKansas State
Covered
W27-17
vsUCF
Missed
W42-28
atGeorgia Southern
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.03+0.03+0.09+0.15+0.20Entering week12345678910Cincinnati · 1: +0.01Cincinnati · 2: +0.05Cincinnati · 3: +0.04Cincinnati · 4: −0.01Cincinnati · 5: +0.02Cincinnati · 6: −0.01Cincinnati · 7: −0.01Cincinnati · 8: +0.01Cincinnati · 9: +0.04Cincinnati · 10: +0.04Houston · 1: +0.01Houston · 2: −0.01Houston · 3: +0.08Houston · 4: +0.14Houston · 5: +0.17Houston · 6: +0.14Houston · 7: +0.19Houston · 8: +0.17Houston · 9: +0.14Houston · 10: +0.14
● Cincinnati● Houston