College football scores › Week 10 › UCF at Kansas
BEAVERBEAVER gives KU 54% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
UCF–––
Kansas–––
UCF–––Kansas–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (UCF–KU) | 26–28 | – | |
| Spread | KU −1.6 | No line | |
| Total | 54.0 | – | |
| KU win chance | 54% | – |
UCF by 14+
16%
UCF by 1–13
30%
KU by 1–13
32%
KU by 14+
22%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.002 #66Offense EPA / play+0.022 #50
−0.076 #27Defense EPA / play allowed−0.020 #45
+1.2% #61Offense success rate+1.6% #56
−2.5% #35Defense success rate allowed−2.4% #39
+0.015 #78Rushing EPA / play+0.099 #35
+0.003 #58Passing EPA / play−0.091 #90
−0.083 #26Rush defense EPA allowed−0.018 #49
−0.076 #33Pass defense EPA allowed+0.042 #66
+3.4 #41Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+2.3 #48
−2.1 #45Scoring defense (pts vs avg)+0.8 #69
Situational
+2.1% #34Passing-down success (3rd & long)−3.9% #89
−3.8% #24Passing-down success allowed−2.9% #35
+0.42 #45Points per drive+0.50 #39
−0.37 #39Points per drive allowed−0.15 #49
Trenches
−0.13 #113Line yards per rush+0.32 #33
−0.42 #11Line yards per rush allowed−0.33 #20
−0.9% #83Runs stuffed at the line−5.6% #14
+0.5% #62Opponent runs stuffed+5.8% #9
−3.0% #34Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.9% #79
+0.4% #45Havoc created+0.3% #49
Big plays
−0.015 #83Rushing explosiveness+0.044 #52
+0.104 #73Passing explosiveness+0.282 #12
+0.09 #38Open-field yards per rush−0.38 #102
−0.031 #45Pass explosiveness allowed+0.034 #80
Style and schedule
56% #64Run rate58% #39
−1.5 #36Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−4.1 #57
UCF: last 5 games
| W39-31 | Covered | |
| L28-42 | Missed | |
| L17-27 | Covered | |
| W21-13 | Covered | |
| W44-30 | Missed |
Kansas: last 5 games
| W25-24 | Missed | |
| L24-35 | Missed | |
| L24-41 | Missed | |
| W55-0 | Covered | |
| L17-24 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekUCFKU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyUCF–––Kansas–––
UCF–––Kansas–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | KU −1.6 | 54.0 | UCF +117 · KU −117 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| UCF | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 3-4 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 1-3 |
| 4-0 | Home | 3-1 |
| 0-3 | Away | 0-2 |
| 5-2 | Against the spread | 2-5 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 4-3 |
| 32.7 / 23.0 | Points for / against | 31.0 / 24.0 |
| +9.7 | Avg margin | +7.0 |
| +6.6 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.4 |
| 60.9 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 64.4 |