BEAVER
College football scores › Week 9 › Kansas at TCU
Kansas3-4away
BEAVER projects20
Amon G. Carter Stadium, 75°, wind 8 mph
TCU3-4home
BEAVER projects26
BEAVERUnder 46.5, leanleanBEAVER gives TCU 65% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Kansas
TCU

BEAVER’s card

Lean
Under 46.5, lean0.7 points off the line

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (KU–TCU)20–26–
SpreadTCU −6.0TCU −6
Total45.846.5Under 46.5
TCU win chance65%−230
KU by 14+
10%
KU by 1–13
25%
TCU by 1–13
35%
TCU by 14+
30%

Total: 0.7 pts below Vegas (52% historically). Opened TCU −4.5.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.022 #50Offense EPA / play−0.051 #86
−0.020 #45Defense EPA / play allowed−0.139 #14
+1.6% #56Offense success rate−1.3% #81
−2.4% #39Defense success rate allowed−6.0% #12
+0.099 #35Rushing EPA / play−0.111 #127
−0.091 #90Passing EPA / play−0.004 #63
−0.018 #49Rush defense EPA allowed−0.191 #4
+0.042 #66Pass defense EPA allowed−0.123 #19
+2.3 #48Scoring offense (pts vs avg)−4.8 #95
+0.8 #69Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−10.0 #8
Situational
−3.9% #89Passing-down success (3rd & long)−6.8% #116
−2.9% #35Passing-down success allowed−5.5% #12
+0.50 #39Points per drive−0.51 #91
−0.15 #49Points per drive allowed−0.87 #16
Trenches
+0.32 #33Line yards per rush−0.25 #122
−0.33 #20Line yards per rush allowed−0.21 #37
−5.6% #14Runs stuffed at the line+1.0% #112
+5.8% #9Opponent runs stuffed+0.3% #67
−0.9% #79Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.3% #100
+0.3% #49Havoc created+0.8% #38
Big plays
+0.044 #52Rushing explosiveness−0.140 #124
+0.282 #12Passing explosiveness+0.209 #30
−0.38 #102Open-field yards per rush−0.38 #101
+0.034 #80Pass explosiveness allowed−0.121 #18
Style and schedule
58% #39Run rate51% #121
−4.1 #57Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−3.6 #54

Kansas: last 5 games

W25-24
vsBaylor
Missed
L24-35
atKansas State
Missed
L24-41
atUtah
Missed
W55-0
vsMiddle Tennessee
Covered
L17-24
vsArizona State
Missed

TCU: last 5 games

L20-24
vsWest Virginia
Missed
W17-6
atBaylor
Covered
L10-17
vsBYU
Missed
L13-21
atUCF
Missed
W31-7
vsArkansas State
Covered

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.07−0.02+0.04+0.09+0.15Entering week123456789Kansas · 1: +0.00Kansas · 2: +0.03Kansas · 3: −0.06Kansas · 4: +0.04Kansas · 5: +0.05Kansas · 6: +0.12Kansas · 7: +0.10Kansas · 8: +0.05Kansas · 9: +0.04TCU · 1: +0.09TCU · 2: +0.03TCU · 3: +0.04TCU · 4: +0.04TCU · 5: +0.04TCU · 6: +0.08TCU · 7: +0.09TCU · 8: +0.13TCU · 9: +0.09
● Kansas● TCU