College football scores › Week 9 › Arizona State at BYU
LaVell Edwards Stadium, 60°, wind 6 mph
BEAVEROver 48.5, best betbest betBYU −16.5, leanleanBEAVER gives BYU 86% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Arizona State
BYU
Arizona StateBYUBEAVER’s card
Best betOver 48.5, best bet5.2 points off the line
- BYU −16.5 lean, 0.6 points off the line
BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (ASU–BYU) | 18–35 | – | |
| Spread | BYU −17.1 | BYU −16.5 | BYU −16.5 |
| Total | 53.7 | 48.5 | Over 48.5 |
| BYU win chance | 86% | −750 |
ASU by 14+
3%
ASU by 1–13
12%
BYU by 1–13
28%
BYU by 14+
58%
Spread: 0.6 pts better than Vegas for BYU (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 5.2 pts above Vegas (49% historically). Opened BYU −17.5.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.064 #91Offense EPA / play+0.181 #10
−0.002 #53Defense EPA / play allowed−0.080 #25
+0.8% #65Offense success rate+6.7% #14
−0.8% #47Defense success rate allowed−3.8% #25
−0.011 #91Rushing EPA / play+0.236 #1
−0.090 #89Passing EPA / play+0.149 #23
+0.011 #67Rush defense EPA allowed−0.044 #40
+0.008 #54Pass defense EPA allowed−0.115 #22
+2.0 #51Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+4.9 #32
+3.9 #88Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−7.3 #21
Situational
+4.3% #20Passing-down success (3rd & long)−0.4% #54
−1.9% #47Passing-down success allowed−0.4% #59
+0.15 #59Points per drive+0.51 #35
+0.27 #76Points per drive allowed−0.76 #22
Trenches
+0.16 #53Line yards per rush+0.42 #19
−0.02 #64Line yards per rush allowed−0.14 #44
−0.9% #84Runs stuffed at the line−3.5% #43
−0.2% #74Opponent runs stuffed+2.3% #44
+0.2% #107Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−7.5% #2
+1.3% #31Havoc created+1.6% #27
Big plays
−0.089 #115Rushing explosiveness+0.129 #18
+0.058 #92Passing explosiveness+0.022 #104
+0.08 #42Open-field yards per rush−0.07 #61
−0.039 #39Pass explosiveness allowed−0.077 #31
Style and schedule
54% #86Run rate60% #31
−3.5 #51Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−0.9 #33
Arizona State: last 5 games
| W28-17 | Covered | |
| L25-53 | Missed | |
| W30-12 | Missed | |
| L19-55 | Missed | |
| W24-17 | Covered |
BYU: last 5 games
| L31-39 | Missed | |
| W28-24 | Covered | |
| W24-10 | Covered | |
| W17-10 | Covered | |
| W41-23 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekASUBYU
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyArizona StateBYU
Arizona StateBYULines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | BYU −16.5 | 48.5 | ASU +525 · BYU −750 |
| BEAVER fair line | BYU −17.1 | 53.7 | ASU +602 · BYU −602 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| ASU | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 6-1 |
| 2-2 | Conference | 3-1 |
| 3-1 | Home | 4-0 |
| 0-2 | Away | 2-1 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 6-1 |
| 4-3 | Over/under | 4-3 |
| 30.9 / 29.9 | Points for / against | 33.1 / 18.6 |
| +1.0 | Avg margin | +14.6 |
| -4.6 | Avg vs. the spread | +1.9 |
| 56.4 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 58.1 |